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Drayah Financial

96
Drayah Financial 💫

Drayah Financial is gradually transforming into a broader digital financial platform with strong fintech expansion potential.
For those who still see it as “just a brokerage company,” the story today is becoming much bigger than that. 👍🏻

## Q1 2026 Results

- Operating income: SAR 228M (+9%)
- Core net profit: SAR 127M (-3%)
- Assets under custody: SAR 35B (+5%)
- Total accounts: 637K (+3%)
- Revenue growth accelerated to 43.3% vs. 37.2% previously

The company still relies heavily on:
- Trading activity
- Retail speculation
- Market commissions

However, management is clearly expanding into:
- Asset management
- Subscription-based products
- Investment solutions

This explains the strong revenue acceleration to 43.3%. 👍🏻

## Segment Breakdown

- Brokerage revenue: SAR 133M
- Special commissions income surged +54% to SAR 65M
- Asset management revenue declined -17%

Operating expenses increased by +29% mainly due to:
- Technology investments
- Marketing expansion
- D360 Bank spending 🫣

Yes, higher expenses are currently pressuring net profit margins, but these can also be viewed as future growth investments.

## D360 Bank 🤬

This project could completely transform the company long term, but success depends on:
- Serious execution
- Strong management
- Long-term strategic vision

If management succeeds, Drayah could eventually evolve into something similar to Interactive Brokers or Robinhood — but with a Saudi fintech ecosystem.

## Valuation

- Closing price: SAR 22.60
- Shares outstanding: 242.67M
- Free float: 31.54% 👍🏻
- Market cap: SAR 5.48B

### Expected Annual Profit

Quarterly profit:
SAR 127M × 4 = SAR 508M

### Forward EPS

508M / 242.67M = SAR 2.09

### Forward P/E

22.60 / 2.09 = 10.8x

## Dividend Analysis

The company announced a quarterly dividend of SAR 0.33.

Annualized dividend:
0.33 × 4 = SAR 1.32

### Dividend Yield

1.32 / 22.60 = 5.75%

### Payout Ratio

80.7M / 127M = 63.5%

## Fair Value Estimate

In my opinion, the stock still looks undervalued.

The current P/E of 10.8x does not fully reflect:
- Growth potential
- Fintech expansion
- Strong dividend profile

I believe the company deserves a valuation closer to 14–16x earnings.

Using forward EPS of SAR 2.09:

- 14x P/E → SAR 29.3
- 16x P/E → SAR 33.4

### Fair Value Range:
SAR 29–33 within a one-year horizon 😉

If D360 Bank succeeds, the stock could trade well above SAR 33+.

## Technical View

Technically, I believe the breakout starts above the SAR 23 leve

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