Setup: The 4h chart shows a powerful V-shaped recovery from the April 7–8 lows near 6380, with ES grinding up to new highs above 7180 in a sustained uptrend. On the 1h, price spiked to 7197 this morning on massive volume (220k+), then pulled back constructively into the 7150–7165 zone which served as prior resistance-turned-support from Apr 22–23 action. The current bar is holding above the breakout shelf with diminishing sell-side volume, suggesting the dip is being absorbed.
Flow: Broad risk-on tape with NQ leading, VIX compressing below 19, and DXY soft is the ideal backdrop for ES continuation. The CFTC positioning data due in ~187 min is a minor wildcard, but the directional setup is well-supported by cross-asset flows. Elevated buy-side volume on the morning push confirms institutional participation behind the move.
Plan: Stop is placed below the Apr 23 intraday consolidation shelf and the morning gap-fill zone — a close below that level invalidates the pullback thesis and suggests a deeper retest. Target is the round-number extension at 7220, the next obvious resistance above recent highs. Setup fails if price can't reclaim the morning range high and begins to auction below the 7140 demand zone.
📍 Entry: 7168
🛑 Stop: 7140
🎯 Target: 7220
⚖️ R:R: 1.86
Flow: Broad risk-on tape with NQ leading, VIX compressing below 19, and DXY soft is the ideal backdrop for ES continuation. The CFTC positioning data due in ~187 min is a minor wildcard, but the directional setup is well-supported by cross-asset flows. Elevated buy-side volume on the morning push confirms institutional participation behind the move.
Plan: Stop is placed below the Apr 23 intraday consolidation shelf and the morning gap-fill zone — a close below that level invalidates the pullback thesis and suggests a deeper retest. Target is the round-number extension at 7220, the next obvious resistance above recent highs. Setup fails if price can't reclaim the morning range high and begins to auction below the 7140 demand zone.
📍 Entry: 7168
🛑 Stop: 7140
🎯 Target: 7220
⚖️ R:R: 1.86
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monk.trade — Trade setups and market intelligence
إخلاء المسؤولية
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