Around 3 months ago (November 06 2025, see chart below) we gave a Sell Signal on Microsoft (MSFT) targeting $450:
The signal was confirmed and the target got hit last week, with the price immediately rebounding as it hit the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the April 07 2025 Low.
This Low was also formed on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and based on the long-term Channel Up pattern that has been in effect for the past +4 years, is a natural technical rebound made half-way through a Bearish Leg.
Both previous Bearish Legs experienced similar rebounds when the 1W RSI hit (or approached) the 40.50 Symmetrical Support level and later resumed the dominant bearish trend. As you can see all Bearish Legs are in the form of a (red) Channel Down.
Once the bearish trend is resumed, we expect this Leg to seek the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which is currently exactly at the bottom of the 4-year Channel Up and is where both previous Bearish Legs priced their bottoms on April 07 2025 and October 21 2022.
Assuming a minimum -26.20% decline (like the previous Leg) and not a -38.88% of the first one, we are targeting at least $410 next.
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The signal was confirmed and the target got hit last week, with the price immediately rebounding as it hit the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the April 07 2025 Low.
This Low was also formed on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and based on the long-term Channel Up pattern that has been in effect for the past +4 years, is a natural technical rebound made half-way through a Bearish Leg.
Both previous Bearish Legs experienced similar rebounds when the 1W RSI hit (or approached) the 40.50 Symmetrical Support level and later resumed the dominant bearish trend. As you can see all Bearish Legs are in the form of a (red) Channel Down.
Once the bearish trend is resumed, we expect this Leg to seek the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which is currently exactly at the bottom of the 4-year Channel Up and is where both previous Bearish Legs priced their bottoms on April 07 2025 and October 21 2022.
Assuming a minimum -26.20% decline (like the previous Leg) and not a -38.88% of the first one, we are targeting at least $410 next.
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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I trade Crypto, Forex, Indices & Commodities on PrimeXBT — all from one account with TradingView charts 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/PrimeXBT
I also use TradeNation for fixed spreads & zero commission 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/Tradenation
I also use TradeNation for fixed spreads & zero commission 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/Tradenation
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
I trade Crypto, Forex, Indices & Commodities on PrimeXBT — all from one account with TradingView charts 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/PrimeXBT
I also use TradeNation for fixed spreads & zero commission 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/Tradenation
I also use TradeNation for fixed spreads & zero commission 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/Tradenation
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.