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Microsoft is currently playing out a beautiful Batman pattern: having broken through the sloping trendline, retested, and also retested at 50 SMA.

However, yesterday, the market pulled the stock above the support level of 490-493, and traders may attempt a rebound after seeing a false breakout.

At the very least, going long in such a situation is very dangerous.
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In mid-November last year, we highlighted a developing technical pattern for $MSFT. Today, the shares are down over 10%, and there is reason to believe the decline will persist, and the market will at least test the $400

The current sell-off is driven by the following factors:

Slowing Azure Growth: Growth in the cloud division has decelerated to 33–34% (adjusted). The market had anticipated a sharper acceleration fueled by the AI boom.

Surging Capex: Capital expenditures jumped 66% YoY, reaching $19 billion for the quarter (with $3.9 billion in financial leases)

OpenAI Concentration Risk: For the first time, it was revealed that OpenAI accounts for a significant portion of Microsoft's revenue momentum. Such high reliance on a single partner is perceived as a structural risk.

Soft Margin Guidance: The company’s operating margin guidance for the upcoming quarter (approx. 45.1%) fell short of analyst expectations.

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