Nifty closed at 23,719, up just 76 points from the previous week.
Weekly High: 23,859 | Weekly Low: 23,317
Once again, Nifty respected my projected range of 24,300–23,000 and formed an inside candle pattern on the weekly timeframe — a classic sign of compression before expansion.
Right now, neither the monthly nor weekly timeframe has turned bullish yet, which means markets may continue to grind sideways before the next decisive move emerges.
NIFTY – KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Bullish Trigger
👉 Weekly close above 24,150
Only after sustaining above this level can Nifty attempt higher zones of:
24,400
24,800
Bearish Trigger
👉 Weekly close below 23,200
If this happens, the bear gang may return aggressively and open downside levels toward:
22,700
22,500
EXPECTED RANGE FOR NEXT WEEK
👉 24,100 – 23,000
Even above 24,100, bulls still face another hurdle near 24,300, making this an important resistance cluster.
INDIA VIX – GOOD FOR BULLS, BAD FOR OPTION BUYERS
India VIX is now gradually cooling down, which is:
✅ Positive for bulls
❌ Negative for option buyers
Because when VIX falls:
👉 Option premiums melt rapidly, even if direction is correct.
Tactical View
People looking for fresh longs may wait for either:
Nifty weekly close above 24,150
or
India VIX stabilizing below 14.2
Whichever comes first.
BANK NIFTY – KEY INDEX TO WATCH
Bank Nifty closed at 54,055, up around 345 points week-on-week.
This index also remained within my expected range of 55,200–52,200.
Expected Range Next Week
👉 55,500 – 52,500
Important Level
👉 54,800
Above this → move toward 55,500 can be fast
Failure near resistance → range-bound movement continues
S&P500 – ALL-TIME HIGH AGAIN
S&P500 closed at another all-time high of 7,473 and, just like Nifty, formed an inside candle pattern.
Breakout Level
👉 7,517
Above this, resistance levels are:
7,564
7,677 (Important Fibonacci level)
One thing deserves appreciation:
Despite wars, geopolitical tensions, and global uncertainty, the US market continues to push higher.
Either:
market participants know something early,
or
confidence in the system remains extremely strong.
PROBABILISTIC FLOW FOR NEXT WEEK
Early week: Mild bullish bias possible
Mid-week: Sideways / volatile movement
End of week: Profit booking or consolidation possible
Overall, this still looks like a range-bound market with stock-specific opportunities.
FINAL VIEW
Nifty: Inside candle, compression phase
Bank Nifty: Key trigger near 54,800
VIX: Cooling down
S&P500: Still structurally strong
👉 Markets are preparing for a bigger move —
The only question is which side breaks first.
Trade levels.
Ignore noise.
Weekly High: 23,859 | Weekly Low: 23,317
Once again, Nifty respected my projected range of 24,300–23,000 and formed an inside candle pattern on the weekly timeframe — a classic sign of compression before expansion.
Right now, neither the monthly nor weekly timeframe has turned bullish yet, which means markets may continue to grind sideways before the next decisive move emerges.
NIFTY – KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Bullish Trigger
👉 Weekly close above 24,150
Only after sustaining above this level can Nifty attempt higher zones of:
24,400
24,800
Bearish Trigger
👉 Weekly close below 23,200
If this happens, the bear gang may return aggressively and open downside levels toward:
22,700
22,500
EXPECTED RANGE FOR NEXT WEEK
👉 24,100 – 23,000
Even above 24,100, bulls still face another hurdle near 24,300, making this an important resistance cluster.
INDIA VIX – GOOD FOR BULLS, BAD FOR OPTION BUYERS
India VIX is now gradually cooling down, which is:
✅ Positive for bulls
❌ Negative for option buyers
Because when VIX falls:
👉 Option premiums melt rapidly, even if direction is correct.
Tactical View
People looking for fresh longs may wait for either:
Nifty weekly close above 24,150
or
India VIX stabilizing below 14.2
Whichever comes first.
BANK NIFTY – KEY INDEX TO WATCH
Bank Nifty closed at 54,055, up around 345 points week-on-week.
This index also remained within my expected range of 55,200–52,200.
Expected Range Next Week
👉 55,500 – 52,500
Important Level
👉 54,800
Above this → move toward 55,500 can be fast
Failure near resistance → range-bound movement continues
S&P500 – ALL-TIME HIGH AGAIN
S&P500 closed at another all-time high of 7,473 and, just like Nifty, formed an inside candle pattern.
Breakout Level
👉 7,517
Above this, resistance levels are:
7,564
7,677 (Important Fibonacci level)
One thing deserves appreciation:
Despite wars, geopolitical tensions, and global uncertainty, the US market continues to push higher.
Either:
market participants know something early,
or
confidence in the system remains extremely strong.
PROBABILISTIC FLOW FOR NEXT WEEK
Early week: Mild bullish bias possible
Mid-week: Sideways / volatile movement
End of week: Profit booking or consolidation possible
Overall, this still looks like a range-bound market with stock-specific opportunities.
FINAL VIEW
Nifty: Inside candle, compression phase
Bank Nifty: Key trigger near 54,800
VIX: Cooling down
S&P500: Still structurally strong
👉 Markets are preparing for a bigger move —
The only question is which side breaks first.
Trade levels.
Ignore noise.
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.