VanEck Semiconductor ETF
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SMH - What if this Medianline-Set holds evidence?

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The upward momentum changed when price closed and opened below the white L-MLH.

The rules say, that when price is leaving the Fork, open and close outside, we can expect a test/retest at the L-MLH.

This is exactly what happened.
Shorts got squeezed by a GAPer of the Market Makers move. And I admit, I could imagine a further rise for a third test at the L-MLH.

However, SMH is being observed very closely from now on.
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Since last week, price is heading to the south as projected.

If it cracks the slanted support (grey), we may see a fast selloff.
I personally expect a pullback to it, which would be nice for an add, and for others not already in the trade, a gift from the trading God ;-)


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High close for the week, but sudo-Fork seems to hold price down.
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With price advancing up against the L-MLH, we have to be mindful what we do next.
Last weeks Candle shows a weak close:

لقطة

Further weakness = Hold on to the trade
Higher levels = Hedge or close

I'm personally willing to hold on to the trade. If price cracks a MLH which it did in Nov. 24, then we have to expect a pullback to it. So, I would rather hedge the position than close it.

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