In my previous analysis, we warned about the "Bull Trap" developing on SUI. The structure was showing weakness despite the price pushing higher. That setup played out perfectly: SUI rejected the highs and flushed back down, erasing the recent gains.
Current Situation (The "Lite" View): Price has now returned to the "Scene of the Crime"—the Point of Control (POC).
Market Structure: BEARISH 🔴
SUI is trading firmly below the Institutional Mean (Purple AVWAP).
The rally above this line failed to hold, confirming it was a "Deviation" rather than a true breakout.
Volume Profile: Reset to Neutral
Notice how price stopped exactly at the Red Line (POC). This is the "Fair Value" zone where the most volume has traded.
The market is now in "Agreement." The volatility has contracted as buyers and sellers negotiate at this high-volume node (~$1.52).
Liquidity:
The recent highs are marked with small 'x' (Sweeps). These remain the "line in the sand" for bears. Until those highs are reclaimed, lower highs are the expectation.
The Game Plan: We are currently in "No Man's Land" (Chop Zone).
Bearish Continuation: We are looking for a 4H Candle Close below the current consolidation (below the POC). If we lose this $1.52 shelf, the next high-volume node is significantly lower.
Bullish Reclaim: To flip bullish, price must reclaim the Purple AVWAP. A close back above the mean would invalidate the bearish structure.
Verdict: Short-term Neutral / Structural Bearish. The violent move is over. We are now consolidating at fair value. I am staying flat/defensive until SUI picks a direction away from this volume node.
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youtube.com/@cantillonresearch
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Daily top picks analysis → free & paid tiers
Custom Institutional volume terminal included with paid sub
thecantillonreport.substack.com/?utm_source=tradingview
cantillonresearch.com/
youtube.com/@cantillonresearch
Custom Institutional volume terminal included with paid sub
thecantillonreport.substack.com/?utm_source=tradingview
cantillonresearch.com/
youtube.com/@cantillonresearch
منشورات ذات صلة
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
