USD/JPY Bullish Reversal Setup – Long Entry at Support Zone

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1. Price Structure

Price has been in a downtrend channel (highlighted in pink).

It has reached the lower boundary of the channel and seems to be consolidating.

This suggests a possible reversal or breakout to the upside.



2. Entry Point

Marked near 148.419 – 148.439.

This is right at the bottom of the consolidation zone, just above the support area.



3. Stop Loss

Placed around 148.085 – 148.099 (yellow box).

Smartly set below the most recent low to protect against further downside if price breaks support.



4. Target

Target point is at 150.249.

This is a big upside move (around 180 pips from entry).

Good risk-to-reward ratio (approx. 1:4), meaning potential profit is much higher than potential loss.



5. Market Context

The chart suggests that once price breaks above the small downtrend (dashed blue line), it could push strongly upward.

This looks like a bullish flag pattern, which is generally a continuation pattern in an uptrend.





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📊 Conclusion

Bias: Bullish (buy setup)

Reason: Price is at channel support + entry is near demand zone + bullish breakout potential.

Plan: Buy near 148.42 with stop loss at 148.09 and target 150.25.

Risk/Reward: Favorable (good setup if price respects support and breaks upward).


⚠ Key Risk: If price closes below 148.09 support, this setup becomes invalid and could drop further.

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