📊 Technical Structure

USDJPY USD/JPY is trading near 152.86, consolidating after touching fresh lows in JPY since February. The pair is holding within a rising channel, with support seen around 152.56–152.68 and resistance at 153.27–153.38. Short-term price action suggests buyers are defending the support zone, keeping the bias upward as long as the channel holds.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: 152.57–152.68 (buy on dips)
Stop Loss: 152.51
Take Profit 1: 153.27
Take Profit 2: 153.38
R:R Ratio: ~1 : 4.14
🏦 Macro Background
The Yen continues to face selling pressure amid Japan’s fiscal concerns and expectations that new PM Sanae Takaichi may favor expansive fiscal policies, delaying BoJ’s tightening path. However, sticky inflation above 2% and resilience in the Japanese economy keep speculation alive for another BoJ hike later this year.
Meanwhile, the USD consolidates strong weekly gains, supported by US economic resilience and political risks abroad. The ongoing US government shutdown remains a wildcard, though markets are still pricing in two Fed rate cuts (Oct & Dec 2025), which could eventually cap USD strength.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 153.27 – 153.38
Support Zone: 152.57 – 152.68
Trendline Support: 152.50
📌 Trade Summary
Bias remains bullish above 152.50, with scope for a retest of 153.27–153.38. A breakdown below 152.10 would invalidate the setup and open downside risk.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: 152.57–152.68 (buy on dips)
Stop Loss: 152.51
Take Profit 1: 153.27
Take Profit 2: 153.38
R:R Ratio: ~1 : 4.14
🏦 Macro Background
The Yen continues to face selling pressure amid Japan’s fiscal concerns and expectations that new PM Sanae Takaichi may favor expansive fiscal policies, delaying BoJ’s tightening path. However, sticky inflation above 2% and resilience in the Japanese economy keep speculation alive for another BoJ hike later this year.
Meanwhile, the USD consolidates strong weekly gains, supported by US economic resilience and political risks abroad. The ongoing US government shutdown remains a wildcard, though markets are still pricing in two Fed rate cuts (Oct & Dec 2025), which could eventually cap USD strength.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 153.27 – 153.38
Support Zone: 152.57 – 152.68
Trendline Support: 152.50
📌 Trade Summary
Bias remains bullish above 152.50, with scope for a retest of 153.27–153.38. A breakdown below 152.10 would invalidate the setup and open downside risk.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
ATFX is a globally regulated, award-winning fintech broker offering customer support in 20 languages.
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👉🏼Start your trading journey with ATFX: bit.ly/3mLMPHz
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
ATFX is a globally regulated, award-winning fintech broker offering customer support in 20 languages.
👉🏼Start your trading journey with ATFX: bit.ly/3mLMPHz
👉🏼Start your trading journey with ATFX: bit.ly/3mLMPHz
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
