Silver (XAGUSD) — D1 Potential Wave 3 Formation + Trendline Brea

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Silver (XAGUSD) — D1 Potential Wave 3 Formation + Trendline Break (Bullish Continuation)

🔎 Market Structure (D1)

On the Daily timeframe, Silver is forming the technical prerequisites for a potential Wave 3 to the upside, confirmed by:

• a breakout of the corrective trendline (shift out of the correction)
• completion of the retracement phase (Wave 2) after the first impulsive leg
• support holding above the recent swing base (buyers defending the structure)
• early impulse behavior after the breakout (signs of acceleration potential)

The current price action fits a classic Elliott Wave impulse model, where Wave 3 begins once Wave 2 completes and price exits the corrective structure.

📐 Elliott Wave Context

• Wave 1: first impulsive move up (trend initiation)
• Wave 2: corrective pullback into structure
• Wave 3: potential impulsive expansion upward (current scenario)

📌 Key principle:
The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the low of Wave 2.

📍 Entry

Entry: 77.99778

The entry is positioned:

• near the post-breakout area
• inside the impulse activation zone
• where Wave 3 often starts expanding after confirmation

🎯 Target Levels (Wave 3 Projections)

Targets are derived from projected impulse expansion zones and key reaction levels:

TP1: 90.74343
TP2: 100.16412
TP3: 108.64274
TP4: 122.36796

Each target represents a potential reaction area and a logical level for partial profit-taking as Wave 3 develops.

🛑 Invalidation / Stop Loss

Stop Loss: 73.84160

📍 The stop is placed below the low of Wave 2, which:

• invalidates the Wave 3 bullish scenario if broken
• protects against continuation of the corrective/bearish structure
• follows Elliott Wave invalidation logic (Wave 2 low must hold for Wave 3)

🧠 Risk & Trade Management

Trend-following setup
Wave 3 can be the strongest phase, but volatility is common.

Recommended approach:

• partial profits at TP1 / TP2
• move stop to breakeven after strong continuation confirmation
• avoid adding risk before clear daily impulse expansion
• scale in only on pullbacks with confirmed support reaction

📌 Summary

XAGUSD on D1 shows a corrective trendline breakout and structural conditions for a potential Wave 3 to the upside.
The bullish scenario remains valid above 73.84160, with upside targets aligned to projected impulse expansion levels.

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