🟡 XAU/USD – 15/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED rate cut probabilities this week:
-25bps: 96.4% (up from 89.1%).
-50bps: only 3.0% (down sharply from 10.9%).
Trump: Announced more sanctions on Russia, urged NATO to stop buying Russian oil; also emphasized “the possibility of significant FED rate cuts.”
Key event today: New York Manufacturing Index at 1:30 (US time).
⏩ Captain’s Summary: The sharp drop in -50bps expectations caused early selling pressure on Gold this morning. But overall, FED is still certain to cut rates and inflation is cooling → the bigger trend continues to favor Buy.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone): 3665 – 3670 (Weak High & upper cap).
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone): 3623 – 3603 – 3587.
Market Structure:
On H1, Gold is moving within a tightening triangle with EqH and EqL.
Main trend stays bullish, but needs a retest of support before rallying toward 3665 – 3670.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3623 – 3625
SL: 3612
TP: 3640 – 3650 – 3660 – 3665+
Buy Zone 2 (FVG)
Entry: 3603 – 3605
SL: 3592
TP: 3620 – 3640 – 3655 – 3665
Deep Buy Zone
Entry: 3587 – 3590
SL: 3575
TP: 3610 – 3630 – 3650
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone
Entry: 3665 – 3670
SL: 3678
TP: 3655 – 3645 – 3635 – 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship faces headwinds this morning as sailors reduce expectations for a -50bps cut. But the larger sail remains filled with dovish FED winds, steering the voyage north. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3623 – 3603 – 3587) is the safe dock to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3665 – 3670) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤. The main journey still favors Buy, waiting for the FED to blow more tailwind into the Golden sails.”
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED rate cut probabilities this week:
-25bps: 96.4% (up from 89.1%).
-50bps: only 3.0% (down sharply from 10.9%).
Trump: Announced more sanctions on Russia, urged NATO to stop buying Russian oil; also emphasized “the possibility of significant FED rate cuts.”
Key event today: New York Manufacturing Index at 1:30 (US time).
⏩ Captain’s Summary: The sharp drop in -50bps expectations caused early selling pressure on Gold this morning. But overall, FED is still certain to cut rates and inflation is cooling → the bigger trend continues to favor Buy.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone): 3665 – 3670 (Weak High & upper cap).
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone): 3623 – 3603 – 3587.
Market Structure:
On H1, Gold is moving within a tightening triangle with EqH and EqL.
Main trend stays bullish, but needs a retest of support before rallying toward 3665 – 3670.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3623 – 3625
SL: 3612
TP: 3640 – 3650 – 3660 – 3665+
Buy Zone 2 (FVG)
Entry: 3603 – 3605
SL: 3592
TP: 3620 – 3640 – 3655 – 3665
Deep Buy Zone
Entry: 3587 – 3590
SL: 3575
TP: 3610 – 3630 – 3650
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone
Entry: 3665 – 3670
SL: 3678
TP: 3655 – 3645 – 3635 – 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship faces headwinds this morning as sailors reduce expectations for a -50bps cut. But the larger sail remains filled with dovish FED winds, steering the voyage north. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3623 – 3603 – 3587) is the safe dock to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3665 – 3670) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤. The main journey still favors Buy, waiting for the FED to blow more tailwind into the Golden sails.”
منشورات ذات صلة
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
منشورات ذات صلة
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.