Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains under pressure ahead of the Fed meeting on September 15–16. Markets are pricing roughly an 89% probability of a 25 bp rate hike, while the U.S. dollar has reached a one-week high and the 10-year Treasury yield is near 5%. Brent above $107 is also keeping inflation concerns elevated. Middle East tensions still provide some safe-haven support, but the macro environment remains difficult for Gold in the short term.
Technical Analysis
On H1, Gold remains in a bearish structure after repeated CHoCH signals and lower lows.
Price is now trading near 4,296, close to the previous low around 4,277. The next important area is the 4,245–4,260 SSL, where a final liquidity sweep could complete the current bearish wave.
If buyers react strongly there, Gold may recover toward the 4,340–4,360 Fibo Zone, followed by the 4,400–4,420 POC.
Important Key Levels
4,490–4,510 — OB + Support / Major Resistance
4,400–4,420 — POC
4,340–4,360 — Fibo Zone
4,245–4,260 — SSL / Main Liquidity
Trading Scenario
Buy priority comes only after a sweep into 4,245–4,260 followed by bullish H1 confirmation.
Target: 4,340–4,360 first, then 4,400–4,420.
Invalidation: H1 acceptance below the SSL zone.
Overall View
The H1 structure remains bearish, so buying early is less attractive. The cleaner setup is to wait for lower liquidity to be taken before looking for a recovery wave.
Will Gold sweep the SSL first before recovering toward 4,400?
Gold remains under pressure ahead of the Fed meeting on September 15–16. Markets are pricing roughly an 89% probability of a 25 bp rate hike, while the U.S. dollar has reached a one-week high and the 10-year Treasury yield is near 5%. Brent above $107 is also keeping inflation concerns elevated. Middle East tensions still provide some safe-haven support, but the macro environment remains difficult for Gold in the short term.
Technical Analysis
On H1, Gold remains in a bearish structure after repeated CHoCH signals and lower lows.
Price is now trading near 4,296, close to the previous low around 4,277. The next important area is the 4,245–4,260 SSL, where a final liquidity sweep could complete the current bearish wave.
If buyers react strongly there, Gold may recover toward the 4,340–4,360 Fibo Zone, followed by the 4,400–4,420 POC.
Important Key Levels
4,490–4,510 — OB + Support / Major Resistance
4,400–4,420 — POC
4,340–4,360 — Fibo Zone
4,245–4,260 — SSL / Main Liquidity
Trading Scenario
Buy priority comes only after a sweep into 4,245–4,260 followed by bullish H1 confirmation.
Target: 4,340–4,360 first, then 4,400–4,420.
Invalidation: H1 acceptance below the SSL zone.
Overall View
The H1 structure remains bearish, so buying early is less attractive. The cleaner setup is to wait for lower liquidity to be taken before looking for a recovery wave.
Will Gold sweep the SSL first before recovering toward 4,400?
تم فتح الصفقة
Gold followed the recovery plan well after reacting from the 4,250–4,260 SSL zone.
Price bounced higher and delivered roughly +6,670 pips, confirming that buyers were able to defend lower liquidity and start the expected recovery wave.
The next upside focus remains the 4,340–4,360 Fibo Zone, followed by the 4,395–4,420 POC if momentum continues.
The first bullish reaction has played out as expected — now the key is whether buyers can keep control above the SSL.
Can Gold extend the recovery toward 4,400?
أغلقت الصفقة: تم الوصول للهدف
Gold did not follow the expected bullish continuation. After reacting from the 4,250–4,260 SSL, price recovered into the 4,345–4,365 Fibo Zone but failed to continue toward the 4,400–4,420 POC.
The rejection from the Fibo Zone pushed Gold sharply back down, invalidating the previous recovery idea and sending price toward lower liquidity again.
The key focus now is whether the 4,250–4,260 SSL can hold after this renewed selling pressure.
Plan invalidated — can buyers defend SSL, or is another breakdown coming?
SMC | Volume Profile | Price Action | Market News
Structure, liquidity and key market reactions.
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Structure, liquidity and key market reactions.
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منشورات ذات صلة
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
SMC | Volume Profile | Price Action | Market News
Structure, liquidity and key market reactions.
t.me/+5hCVk2sevVo0YjA1
Structure, liquidity and key market reactions.
t.me/+5hCVk2sevVo0YjA1
منشورات ذات صلة
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.