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Will gold have another breakout?03/02/26

192
📉 1️⃣ Trendline

🔹 Main trend: STILL BEARISH
Price remains below the medium-term descending trendline drawn from the left peak → sellers continue to control the broader structure.

🔹 Short-term trend: TECHNICAL PULLBACK
Price has formed a short-term ascending trendline from the most recent low → this is only a corrective rally within the larger downtrend.

➡️ Price is currently compressing inside a triangle pattern (descending trendline above + ascending trendline below) → a strong breakout move is likely soon.

🟥 2️⃣ Resistance Zones

🔹 Near resistance: 4,998 – 5,000

Previous breakdown area

Confluence with the descending trendline
➡️ High probability of selling pressure appearing on a retest

🔹 Major resistance: 5,263 – 5,265

Strong prior supply zone

1.618 Fibonacci extension level
➡️ Only a strong breakout above this zone would confirm a trend reversal

🟩 3️⃣ Support Zones

🔹 Near support: 4,683 – 4,685

Current consolidation base

Confluence with the short-term ascending trendline
➡️ If this level holds → price can rebound to retest resistance

🔹 Deeper support: 4,590 – 4,600

Previous structural low
➡️ A break below this zone would confirm continuation of the downtrend and potential new lows

🔻 SELL GOLD: 4,998 – 5,000

Stop Loss: 5,010
Take Profit: 200 pips – 400 pips – Open

🔺 BUY GOLD: 4,683 – 4,685

Stop Loss: 4,673
Take Profit: 200 pips – 400 pips – Open
ملاحظة
— Market Update —
Based on current price action, the market is forming a well-defined ascending channel on the H1 timeframe, indicating that the recovery trend remains intact. Higher lows continue to develop, showing that buyers are still defending price within a controlled bullish structure.

🔹 Primary Scenario
As long as this ascending channel holds its structure, price has the potential to retest the psychological 5000 level in the near term. This zone represents a key technical and psychological level, where market reaction should be closely monitored.

🔹 Key Liquidity Zone – Channel Support
• 4668 – 4655: This area acts as a critical liquidity zone and dynamic support, maintaining the integrity of the current ascending channel.
• A clean break below this zone would weaken the short-term bullish structure, while holding above it keeps the recovery bias valid.
أغلقت الصفقة: تم الوصول للهدف
🔻 SELL GOLD: 4,998 – 5,000

Stop Loss: 5,010
Take Profit: 200 pips – 400 pips – Open

===> +300pips

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