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Downward pressure at the beginning of the week below 4500

252
📈 1. Trend & Market Structure

Overview:

Gold is currently undergoing a correction following a strong rally from the 4,365 low to the 4,595 high.

The short-term EMA (~4,508) remains above EMA89 (~4,504), indicating that the short-term bullish structure has not been fully broken yet.

However, price has fallen back below the short-term EMA and is now testing a key support zone around 4.49x–4.50x.

👉 Current Trend:
Short-term bearish correction within a broader recovery structure.

📊 2. Price Action & Momentum

Price Action:

After reaching the strong resistance area around 4.59x, gold encountered heavy selling pressure and formed a series of corrective candles.

Price is currently retesting a key support confluence consisting of:

EMA89
Major POC / Volume Profile node
Demand zone around 4.49x

This area is likely to determine the market’s next directional move.

👉 If the 4.49x–4.50x support zone holds:

Potential rebound toward 4.52x
Then 4.55x
And possibly 4.59x

👉 If price breaks below this support zone:

The bearish scenario may extend toward the 4.42x–4.43x liquidity zone.

Momentum:

RSI around 41 → momentum has weakened after the recent rally.
The histogram has turned red and continues to expand, indicating ongoing short-term selling pressure.
No clear bullish reversal signal has emerged at the current support zone.

👉 Short-term momentum remains slightly in favor of the bears.

📍 3. Key Support & Resistance Levels

🔴 Near Resistance: 4,508 – 4,520

Short-term EMA
Current technical rebound area

🔴 Major Resistance: 4,590 – 4,595

Recent swing high
Strong supply zone

🔵 Near Support: 4,490 – 4,485

EMA89
POC Volume Profile
Short-term demand zone

🔵 Major Support: 4,430 – 4,420

Liquidity zone highlighted on the chart
Next downside target if current support fails to hold

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BUY GOLD zone 4425 - 4420

SL : 4415

TP : 4442 - 4460 - 4488


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تم فتح الصفقة
XAU decrease 4445 and react up. H1 decrease

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