XAUUSD H4 – Medium-Term Rising Channel and Key Liquidity Zones
Gold reacted sharply after touching the trendline, with the primary focus next week on buying pullbacks in line with the dominant trend
PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN STRATEGY
Trend-following buy strategy on a corrective move into key support and liquidity areas
Primary buy zone: 4175 – 4203
Technical context: this area represents a previously validated support zone and a clear pool of downside liquidity
Price expectation: a corrective dip into support, absorption of selling pressure, followed by a potential rebound back toward the upper balance area
Position management:
If price shows a strong reaction and H4 candles hold above the support zone, maintaining a swing-long bias remains favoured.
If price breaks decisively below support, risk should be reduced and deeper levels monitored.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY STRATEGY
Deeper pullback buy opportunity near the lower trendline of the rising channel
Alternative buy zone: near the lower boundary of the rising channel, aligned with long-term liquidity
Technical context: this area acts as the last line of defence for the medium-term bullish structure and is suitable for longer-term positioning
Price expectation: a deeper liquidity sweep followed by recovery, reaffirming the rising channel
KEY TECHNICAL POINTS
On the H4 timeframe, price continues to trade within a rising channel. The sharp 100-point drop after touching the upper trendline highlights profit-taking pressure at higher levels
The 4175 area and the lower channel trendline remain the most important liquidity zones for trend-aligned buying
Upper resistance and the FVG-liquidity zone are better suited for trade management rather than aggressive new longs
MACRO AND MARKET CONTEXT
Markets are reacting to growing expectations of a potential shift in future Federal Reserve leadership and policy direction.
The probability of Kevin Warsh becoming the next Fed Chair has increased, alongside comments indicating a preference for significantly lower interest rates.
Such expectations may remain supportive for gold in the medium term, although short-term technical corrections should still be respected after strong upside moves.
RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING
Avoid chasing price near the upper boundary of the rising channel.
Any sell positions should be treated as short-term countertrend trades and only considered with clear rejection signals.
The bullish scenario weakens if price breaks and fails to reclaim the rising channel structure.
Remain alert to volatility around policy-related headlines and key economic data, as liquidity sweeps are likely.
Gold reacted sharply after touching the trendline, with the primary focus next week on buying pullbacks in line with the dominant trend
PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN STRATEGY
Trend-following buy strategy on a corrective move into key support and liquidity areas
Primary buy zone: 4175 – 4203
Technical context: this area represents a previously validated support zone and a clear pool of downside liquidity
Price expectation: a corrective dip into support, absorption of selling pressure, followed by a potential rebound back toward the upper balance area
Position management:
If price shows a strong reaction and H4 candles hold above the support zone, maintaining a swing-long bias remains favoured.
If price breaks decisively below support, risk should be reduced and deeper levels monitored.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY STRATEGY
Deeper pullback buy opportunity near the lower trendline of the rising channel
Alternative buy zone: near the lower boundary of the rising channel, aligned with long-term liquidity
Technical context: this area acts as the last line of defence for the medium-term bullish structure and is suitable for longer-term positioning
Price expectation: a deeper liquidity sweep followed by recovery, reaffirming the rising channel
KEY TECHNICAL POINTS
On the H4 timeframe, price continues to trade within a rising channel. The sharp 100-point drop after touching the upper trendline highlights profit-taking pressure at higher levels
The 4175 area and the lower channel trendline remain the most important liquidity zones for trend-aligned buying
Upper resistance and the FVG-liquidity zone are better suited for trade management rather than aggressive new longs
MACRO AND MARKET CONTEXT
Markets are reacting to growing expectations of a potential shift in future Federal Reserve leadership and policy direction.
The probability of Kevin Warsh becoming the next Fed Chair has increased, alongside comments indicating a preference for significantly lower interest rates.
Such expectations may remain supportive for gold in the medium term, although short-term technical corrections should still be respected after strong upside moves.
RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING
Avoid chasing price near the upper boundary of the rising channel.
Any sell positions should be treated as short-term countertrend trades and only considered with clear rejection signals.
The bullish scenario weakens if price breaks and fails to reclaim the rising channel structure.
Remain alert to volatility around policy-related headlines and key economic data, as liquidity sweeps are likely.
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t.me/+MLnZundgRZY2MTY9
✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+MLnZundgRZY2MTY9
منشورات ذات صلة
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
🔥 BrianLionCapital – Where Top Traders Unite
✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+MLnZundgRZY2MTY9
✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+MLnZundgRZY2MTY9
منشورات ذات صلة
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.