XAUUSD 15M: Bearish Channel Breakdown | Retest Sell Setup Toward
📊 XAU/USD Technical Analysis (15M)
Current Price:
4123.225
Bias:
Bearish
Pattern:
Rising channel breakdown followed by a bearish retest
🔍 Market Structure
Price previously moved inside a rising channel.
The channel was broken to the downside, signaling a loss of bullish momentum.
A consolidation range formed around 4118–4125, indicating indecision.
The chart suggests a retest of the broken support area near 4133–4140, which is now acting as resistance.
As long as price remains below this zone, sellers maintain control.
📍 Key Levels
Resistance / Supply Zone
4133.0 – 4140.0 (marked support-turned-resistance)
4154.4 (major invalidation area / stop-loss level)
Support Levels
4115.0 – 4110.0 (intraday support)
4095.0 (next downside liquidity area)
4065.0 (major target zone shown on chart)
💧 Liquidity Zones
Buy-side liquidity: Above 4133–4140 where trapped buyers and breakout traders may have stops.
Sell-side liquidity: Below 4110 and extending toward 4065, where resting sell targets and stop orders are likely clustered.
📈 Trade Idea (Educational)
Preferred Bias: SELL on retest
Possible Entry:
4130 – 4136
Stop Loss:
4154.4
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 4110
TP2: 4095
TP3: 4080
TP4: 4065
🧠 Confirmation Needed
Rejection candles in the 4133–4140 zone.
Lower highs on the 15-minute timeframe.
Increasing bearish momentum after the retest.
⚠️ Invalidation
A strong 15-minute close above 4140 weakens the bearish setup.
A breakout and hold above 4154.4 would invalidate this short idea and could open the door for a bullish continuation.
Overall OutlookBearish while below 4133–4140; a retest rejection could target 4110, 4095, and potentially the 4065 liquidity zone.
Current Price:
4123.225
Bias:
Bearish
Pattern:
Rising channel breakdown followed by a bearish retest
🔍 Market Structure
Price previously moved inside a rising channel.
The channel was broken to the downside, signaling a loss of bullish momentum.
A consolidation range formed around 4118–4125, indicating indecision.
The chart suggests a retest of the broken support area near 4133–4140, which is now acting as resistance.
As long as price remains below this zone, sellers maintain control.
📍 Key Levels
Resistance / Supply Zone
4133.0 – 4140.0 (marked support-turned-resistance)
4154.4 (major invalidation area / stop-loss level)
Support Levels
4115.0 – 4110.0 (intraday support)
4095.0 (next downside liquidity area)
4065.0 (major target zone shown on chart)
💧 Liquidity Zones
Buy-side liquidity: Above 4133–4140 where trapped buyers and breakout traders may have stops.
Sell-side liquidity: Below 4110 and extending toward 4065, where resting sell targets and stop orders are likely clustered.
📈 Trade Idea (Educational)
Preferred Bias: SELL on retest
Possible Entry:
4130 – 4136
Stop Loss:
4154.4
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 4110
TP2: 4095
TP3: 4080
TP4: 4065
🧠 Confirmation Needed
Rejection candles in the 4133–4140 zone.
Lower highs on the 15-minute timeframe.
Increasing bearish momentum after the retest.
⚠️ Invalidation
A strong 15-minute close above 4140 weakens the bearish setup.
A breakout and hold above 4154.4 would invalidate this short idea and could open the door for a bullish continuation.
Overall OutlookBearish while below 4133–4140; a retest rejection could target 4110, 4095, and potentially the 4065 liquidity zone.
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JOIN MY TELEGRAM CHANNEL LINK t.me/lmindgolde JOIN MY TELEGRAM CHANNEL LINK t.me/lmindgolde
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.