Gold has delivered a strong reaction from a higher-timeframe discount zone after sweeping sell-side liquidity, and the current structure continues to favour expansion higher as long as price holds above the recent lows.
The latest move appears to be a textbook liquidity grab followed by displacement, creating a clean foundation for continuation into premium.
Market Structure
After the sharp selloff, price engineered a sweep below the previous swing low (CRT L), taking out resting liquidity before aggressively reclaiming the range.
This reclaim is significant because it shifts the narrative from continuation selling to accumulation inside discount. The impulsive bullish candle that followed suggests buyers are willing to defend this area.
The highlighted blue zone represents the preferred demand area and Model 1 entry. As long as price remains above this region, the probability continues to favour higher prices.
Bullish Roadmap
The upside path consists of several logical liquidity objectives:
First target: Current Range Equilibrium (CRT EQ)
Second target: Current Range High (CRT H)
Final objective: Premium supply / higher-timeframe resistance around the 4110 area
These levels represent natural magnets for price following a successful liquidity sweep and displacement.
Why I'm Bullish
✔ Sell-side liquidity has already been cleared.
✔ Strong bullish displacement confirms buying interest.
✔ Price is trading from discount rather than chasing premium.
✔ Risk-to-reward remains attractive while holding above the entry zone.
Invalidation
The bullish thesis is invalidated if price closes decisively below the Model 1 demand zone and loses the reclaimed liquidity. That would suggest the sweep failed and opens the door for another leg lower.
Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Pullbacks into the highlighted demand / Model 1 entry zone
Confirmation: Continued respect of the reclaimed structure and higher lows
Targets: CRT EQ → CRT H → Higher-timeframe supply (4110)
Patience is key here. Rather than chasing the initial impulse, the higher-probability opportunity comes from allowing price to retrace into demand before looking for continuation toward the liquidity resting above.
This analysis is based purely on price action, liquidity, and market structure. Always wait for your own confirmation and manage risk appropriately.
The latest move appears to be a textbook liquidity grab followed by displacement, creating a clean foundation for continuation into premium.
Market Structure
After the sharp selloff, price engineered a sweep below the previous swing low (CRT L), taking out resting liquidity before aggressively reclaiming the range.
This reclaim is significant because it shifts the narrative from continuation selling to accumulation inside discount. The impulsive bullish candle that followed suggests buyers are willing to defend this area.
The highlighted blue zone represents the preferred demand area and Model 1 entry. As long as price remains above this region, the probability continues to favour higher prices.
Bullish Roadmap
The upside path consists of several logical liquidity objectives:
First target: Current Range Equilibrium (CRT EQ)
Second target: Current Range High (CRT H)
Final objective: Premium supply / higher-timeframe resistance around the 4110 area
These levels represent natural magnets for price following a successful liquidity sweep and displacement.
Why I'm Bullish
✔ Sell-side liquidity has already been cleared.
✔ Strong bullish displacement confirms buying interest.
✔ Price is trading from discount rather than chasing premium.
✔ Risk-to-reward remains attractive while holding above the entry zone.
Invalidation
The bullish thesis is invalidated if price closes decisively below the Model 1 demand zone and loses the reclaimed liquidity. That would suggest the sweep failed and opens the door for another leg lower.
Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Pullbacks into the highlighted demand / Model 1 entry zone
Confirmation: Continued respect of the reclaimed structure and higher lows
Targets: CRT EQ → CRT H → Higher-timeframe supply (4110)
Patience is key here. Rather than chasing the initial impulse, the higher-probability opportunity comes from allowing price to retrace into demand before looking for continuation toward the liquidity resting above.
This analysis is based purely on price action, liquidity, and market structure. Always wait for your own confirmation and manage risk appropriately.
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView. اقرأ المزيد في شروط الاستخدام.