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Gold Weakens After FOMC — Pullback or Continuation?

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Gold is trading around 4530–4540, showing a weak recovery after recent selling pressure.

Despite short-term bounce, overall structure still leans bearish after multiple breaks of structure.

📰 News Context

After FOMC:

• Fed keeps cautious tone → no strong dovish signal
• USD remains relatively firm
• Market expectations for rate cuts reduced
• Gold lacks strong catalyst to push higher

👉 Current bounce looks more technical than fundamental.

📊 Technical Overview (H2)

• Clear CHoCH + BOS confirms bearish shift
• Price is now reacting inside a FVG zone
• Lower high structure still intact
• No confirmation of bullish reversal

👉 Market is likely in a corrective phase within a downtrend.

⚡ IF–THEN Scenario

IF price rejects 4589 zone
→ downside continuation likely

IF price breaks above 4589
→ short-term recovery toward higher levels

📌 Key Levels

🔴 Supply Zone: 4,589
🟡 FVG: 4,526 – 4,541
🟢 Support 1: 4,501
🟢 Major Support: 4,452

🚀 Expected Move

Primary scenario:

4530 → 4580 (pullback) → continuation down
→ 4501 → 4452

Alternative:

Break 4589 → deeper recovery

🧠 Market Perspective

Gold is showing weak bullish reaction despite recent drop.

👉 This suggests:

• Buyers are not aggressive
• Move up = likely liquidity grab
• Sellers still in control
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لقطة

This price has broken the short-term downtrend; wait for a retest. Today's bias is long.

GOOD LUCK TRADER!

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