Eliana | BTCUSD · 15M – Pullback Into Demand | Reversal Attempt BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After rejecting from the 71.5K supply zone, BTC entered a controlled sell-off and respected the 67.8K level before breaking lower. The current price action shows compression into demand, suggesting potential liquidity absorption. If buyers defend this zone, a relief rally toward mid-range resistance becomes likely.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
• Hold above 66,200 demand
• 🎯 Target 1: 67,800
• 🎯 Target 2: 69,000
• 🎯 Target 3: 71,500
❌ Bearish Case 📉
• Clean breakdown below 66,200
• 🎯 Target 1: 64,800
• 🎯 Target 2: 63,000
• 🎯 Target 3: 60,250 (major liquidity)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 67,800 → 71,500
Support 🟢: 66,300 → 66,200
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. 
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Bitcoin Is Down 45%+ Since October. What Its Chart Says Now.Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has fallen some 45% since hitting its all-time high in October and has recently been trading at or near 15-month lows. What do its technicals tell us?
Let's check out this chart going back roughly 11 months and running through Wednesday afternoon (Feb. 11):
The above chart uses Bitcoin's dollar prices as reported by Coinbase.
Readers will first note that the world's best-known cryptocurrency developed a bullish-pennant pattern last spring. Marked in green at the chart's left, this is a pattern of trend continuance. That certainly worked well, as BTC rallied into the summer.
Then from August into early October, Bitcoin put in a double-top pattern of bearish reversal, as marked with red jagged lines and red boxes at the chart's center. Again, that set-up worked like a charm -- sending BTC to record intraday highs of about $126,000 on Oct. 6. Wow!
However, Bitcoin then sold off into November ... and that's where the technicals started to fail.
At that point, the cryptocurrency moved into what's known as an "ascending triangle," marked in black at the chart's right. This pattern almost always foretells of a coming volatility period, and it sure did in this case.
That said, ascending triangles are usually bullish -- but not this time. In fact, Bitcoin has more or less been obliterated since it failed to break out of that pattern in early 2026. The cryptocurrency fell some 30% between Jan. 14 and Feb. 11 -- not to mention more than 50% since Oct. 6.
Could Bitcoin go even lower? Of course it could.
For one thing, BTC has been losing value rapidly against the dollar even as the U.S. currency has been dropping relative to other countries' monies. That means that in terms other than in U.S. dollars, Bitcoin is losing value at an even greater pace than the above chart shows.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin's other technical indicators in the chart above are in awful condition.
For instance, the crypto's Relative Strength Index (or "RSI," marked with a gray line at the chart's top) has been skirting along the edge of a technically oversold condition for a couple of weeks now.
And at the chart's bottom, Bitcoin's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," denoted by black and gold lines and blue bars) remains extremely bearish in posture.
The histogram of the crypto's 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with blue bats) is mired deep into negative territory, as are both Bitcoin's 12-day EMA (the black line) and 26-day EMA (the gold line).
Making matters worse, that black line is running below the gold line. All of that is bearish technically.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle had no position in Bitcoin at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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EUR/USD Steadies as Fed Stays Pat, ECB Concerns LingerEUR/USD eased back today after recent strength as sentiment shifted modestly toward the U.S. dollar. The Federal Reserve held rates unchanged as expected, with Chair Powell maintaining a tight-lipped stance that produced a muted market response — EUR/USD briefly dipped below 1.1900 before recovering to around 1.1950. The Fed's upbeat tone on economic conditions has cast some doubt on the timing of future rate cuts, offering modest support to the greenback.
The euro’s broader advance has also been tempered by fresh commentary from ECB policymakers warning that rapid euro appreciation could dampen inflation and complicate monetary policy, a reflection of underlying growth headwinds in the region. While consumer confidence and business sentiment showed pockets of resilience earlier this month, broader price pressures remain subdued and below target, keeping market focus on the ECB's reluctance to tighten further.
In the above chart, EUR/USD rates have quickly regained the bullish uptrend from the January, March, and November 2025 lows, surging to their highest level since June 2021. The consolidative action from last summer can now be interpreted as a bullish pennant. Despite today’s pullback, EUR/USD rates are holding the first key support level should the breakout continue, the September 2025 high at 1.1919. Failure below 1.1919 by the end of the month would likewise put into question the year-long uptrend again; until then, momentum appears to favor the upside. 
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Prebreakout Buildup at a 4-Year Resistance: IPCA LaboratoriesTL;DR: The High-Conviction "Pre-Breakout Buildup & Squeeze" Setup
IPCA Labs is currently edging towards the apex of a year-long pennant consolidation at a major 4-year resistance level. With both NIFTY and NIFTY Pharma indices looking bullishly poised, the odds favor bullish breakout in IPCA soon.
Step 1: The "Forest to the Trees" Filter (Tailwinds)
The Forest (Nifty 50): The broad market is structurally robust, coiling near record highs and positioned for a possible continuation breakout.
The Trees (Nifty Pharma Index): The NIFTY Pharma index also looks good, positioned for a possible bullish breakout.
Conclusion: Macro and sector tailwinds are firmly in place to support individual pharma breakouts.
Step 2: Big Picture (Stan Weinstein Stage Analysis)
The 4-Year Ceiling: The stock has been capped by a major horizontal resistance at ₹1380 since 2021.
The Buildup Phase: An initial breakout attempt in late 2024 failed to sustain, leading to a year-long pennant-shaped continuation pattern. This oscillation has allowed the stock to absorb the multi-year overhead supply.
The Stage: Having spent significant time basing and now coiling at range highs, IPCA is primed for a transition into a decisive Stage 2 Advance.
Step 3: Execution Structure (Prebreakout PA Analysis)
The Buildup: The last 12 months show a tightening "pennant" structure right at the key ₹1380 level - a classic sign of institutional absorption.
Momentum Signal: November 2025 saw a strong bullish monthly bar breaking above the 20-Month EMA and the resistance level on high volume.
The Prebreakout Squeeze: December 2025 is closing as a tight doji above the breakout level. This narrow-spread candle above the EMA/resistance is a "squeeze" that creates tension - and could resolve in an explosive move if bulls can push beyond the year-long pattern's boundary.
Step 4: Fundamental Engine (The Notebook)
Operational Turnaround: Q2 FY2026 saw robust profit growth of 23.13% YoY (₹282.57 Cr) and record quarterly revenue.
Margin Expansion: Standalone EBITDA margins surged to 25.46%, a 257 bps improvement reflecting enhanced operational efficiency.
API Surge: The API business is a major growth driver, with sales increasing 28% to ₹408 Cr in the most recent quarter.
Valuation Gap: Currently trading at a P/B of ~4.9x. While higher than some peers, its ROA of ~7.3% and ROE of ~12.8% are trending upward as operational leverage kicks in.
Financial Health: Maintains a very low debt-to-equity ratio of ~0.19 with an interest coverage ratio of 34.9x.
Possible Entries:
Aggressive: Within the current "squeeze" zone (₹1380–₹1470), as close to the 20-Month, or 20-Week EMA as possible.
Important note for this entry - check how the monthly closes (in 2 days from now). If it closes somewhat like it looks now (a tight doji), then this entry would have decent odds.
Conservative: On a decisive weekly close above the pennant's upper boundary.
Invalidation of the setup: Bearish break & close below the pennant, or below the 20-month EMA (or 20-week EMA if following on weekly)
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market investments are subject to risk; please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading. 
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