USD/JPY(20260624)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Deutsche Bank research analyst Michael Hsueh stated in a report that "the Fed's repricing, coupled with strong US macroeconomic data, is the main reason for the decline in gold prices." The bank has lowered its third-quarter gold price forecast to $4,300 per ounce, a reduction of more than one-fifth from its previous forecast, and adjusted its forecast for the last three months of the year to $4,800 per ounce.
Similar adjustments were made by Goldman Sachs. Last week, the institution lowered its year-end gold price forecast by $500 to $4,900 per ounce, citing its assessment that the Fed will not cut interest rates this year.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
161.52
Support and Resistance Levels:
161.98
161.81
161.70
161.34
161.22
161.05
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 161.70, consider buying with a first target price of 161.81.
If the price breaks below 161.52, consider selling with a first target price of 161.34. 
Long
Long 
USD/JPY(20251224)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The US economy expanded at a rate of 4.3% in the third quarter, the fastest growth in two years, but the US consumer confidence index declined for the fifth consecutive month.
ADP Weekly Employment Report: In the four weeks ending December 6, 2025, private sector employers added an average of 11,500 jobs per week.
Trump: Those who disagree with him will never become Fed Chair. Next Fed candidate Hassett: Predicts monthly job growth may return to 100,000+, and the Fed is far behind the times on interest rate cuts.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
156.30
Support and Resistance Levels:
157.71
157.18
156.84
155.76
155.42
154.90
Trading Strategy:
If it breaks above 156.30, consider buying, with a first target price of 156.84.
If it breaks below 155.76, consider selling, with a first target price of 155.42. USD/JPY(20251218)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Ben Waller, one of the final candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair and current Governor, said on Wednesday that the current job market is "very weak" and job growth is "not optimistic," therefore the Fed still has room to cut interest rates. He supports further rate cuts to restore the central bank's interest rate setting to a neutral level, while stating that policymakers do not need to rush into doing so.
Speaking at the Yale University CEO Summit, Waller noted that the Fed's current interest rate is 50 to 100 basis points higher than the neutral rate, but he emphasized that "aggressive action is not needed" and that rate cuts can continue "at a moderate pace."
Waller stated that "the job market indicates the Fed should continue cutting rates," while also assuring that "we are not seeing a cliff-like drop in the job market."
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
155.30
Support and Resistance:
156.52
156.06
155.77
154.83
154.54
154.08
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 155.77, consider buying, with a first target price of 156.06.
If the price breaks below 155.30, consider selling, with a first target price of 154.83. USD/JPY(20251021)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The US government shutdown entered its 20th day on Monday after senators failed to break the impasse for the tenth time last week. The shutdown has also delayed the release of key economic data, leaving investors and Federal Reserve policymakers with a data vacuum ahead of next week's policy meeting. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, delayed by the shutdown, is scheduled for release this Friday. Meanwhile, traders are pricing in a 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week, with another cut expected in December. As a non-interest-bearing asset, gold typically performs well in a low-interest rate environment.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
150.73
Support and Resistance Levels:
151.65
151.30
151.08
150.37
150.15
149.81
Trading Strategy:
On the upside, consider buying on a break above 151.08, with the first target at 151.30.
On the downside, consider selling on a break below 150.73, with the first target at 150.15. USDJPY: Tight Range, Big Breakout Coming – Bulls Eye 150.80In recent weeks, USDJPY has been one of the most frustrating pairs to trade.
Since early August, the pair has fluctuated inside a very narrow range between 146.70 and 148.50 — less than 1.5% of movement.
However, such tight consolidations rarely last. They usually precede strong moves, and in my opinion, this breakout is more likely to come to the upside.
Looking at the broader picture:
• The April low around 140 (which also tested September last year’s low) marked a strong structural support.
• From there, the pair began climbing in a constructive way, consistently putting in higher lows on the long-term chart.
• During the current consolidation, we’ve seen two notable bullish reactions: dips slightly below 147.70 were bought aggressively on 14 August and again just two days ago, leaving behind clean bullish pin bars on the daily chart.
Putting these pieces together, my bias is bullish. I expect the current range to eventually resolve higher, with 150.80 as the next major resistance and natural target for bulls.
That being said, the market still needs to confirm this idea:
• Upside acceleration comes with a clear break above 148.50.
• The bullish case would be invalidated by a daily close below 146.50.
As always, patience is key — range markets test our discipline, but they also prepare the ground for the next big move. 🚀
Short
