Not much has changed since my previous post, “Bitcoin local play on the daily time frame,” published on December 17, 2025. Since these are daily timeframe updates, the key difference is adjusting levels to reflect recent price action for more accurate support and resistance.
As mentioned before, Bitcoin is still accumulating within a 3 month range (green). Inside that sits a weekly range (purple), and within that are the daily levels (red), which are the primary focus of this post.
Macro outlook:
1. Price needs to reclaim the weekly level and hold above it.
2. If that happens on lower timeframes, price should move toward the 3 month resistance (green).
3. A successful test and reclaim of the 3 month range on lower timeframes could open a move toward the $100k–$105k area, in my opinion.
Bearish scenario:
If we lose the weekly support (purple), price likely moves down to the 3 month support around $82k. A break of that level could send price as low as $71k. Volatility would likely increase significantly, especially given the psychological impact of losing a key 3 month support level.
Stay mindful of these levels.
As mentioned before, Bitcoin is still accumulating within a 3 month range (green). Inside that sits a weekly range (purple), and within that are the daily levels (red), which are the primary focus of this post.
Macro outlook:
1. Price needs to reclaim the weekly level and hold above it.
2. If that happens on lower timeframes, price should move toward the 3 month resistance (green).
3. A successful test and reclaim of the 3 month range on lower timeframes could open a move toward the $100k–$105k area, in my opinion.
Bearish scenario:
If we lose the weekly support (purple), price likely moves down to the 3 month support around $82k. A break of that level could send price as low as $71k. Volatility would likely increase significantly, especially given the psychological impact of losing a key 3 month support level.
Stay mindful of these levels.
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Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.