$BTC Macro Update

129
Bitcoin Macro Outlook BTCUSDT.P

Weekly

  • Bias & momentum remain bullish. Price is pressing toward new ATHs despite last week’s pullback.
  • Next macro target: ~$133,550 (extension of the current DeCode V-Range: 111,959.5 – 77,111.0).
  • A weekly close back inside that range (<111,968.0) = Failed Auction → serious red flag for reversal.


Daily

  • Clean rejection off the 21-Day Rolling VWAP + bounce at the structural HL V-Level (116,862.4).
  • A strong bullish engulfing today would set the tone for follow-through this week.


10-Hour

  • Structure is still bullish. Multiple Failed Auctions from ~116,960.0 are driving price toward the ATH.
    • Intraday

      1. Choppy and hugging range lows → harder read. That behavior near balance edges triggers AMT Rule #5: “If time/volume builds at the edge of balance, price is likely to push through.”


      Auction Market Theory – Quick Reminders

      • Price: advertises opportunity
      • Time: regulates opportunity
      • Volume: tells you if the auction is succeeding or failing


      Rule #5 (above) is in play right now. Stay patient, wait for confirmation, and don’t FOMO.

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