EURUSD | 15M Execution | 26 June 2026

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Market Bias

Bullish (Intraday)

Higher-timeframe order flow remains constructive despite the recent impulse into resistance.

4H Bullish ChoCH remains valid.
4H demand continues to hold.
Selling pressure has weakened as bullish momentum reclaimed internal structure.
Current expectation is continuation higher after liquidity is collected.
Market Structure

Current 15M structure is printing:

Internal Bullish
Swing Bearish

This creates a mixed lower timeframe environment, meaning patience is required. We are not interested in chasing price into premium.

The preferred approach is allowing price to retrace into institutional demand before looking for confirmation.

Primary Trading Scenario (High Probability)
Buy the Discount

Allow price to retrace into the highlighted 15M demand.

Confirmation required:

✓ Liquidity sweep below short-term lows

✓ Bullish Market Structure Shift (ChoCH)

✓ Strong displacement from demand

✓ Fair Value Gap or Order Block confirmation

Only after confirmation should long exposure be considered.

Targets

TP1
Previous intraday highs

TP2
15M supply

Extended Target
Continuation toward higher-timeframe premium should momentum remain intact.

Alternative Scenario

If buyers fail to defend the first demand zone:

Expect continuation into the lower 15M demand.
This area aligns with stronger internal support and offers the higher-quality institutional entry.
A deeper pullback does not invalidate the overall bullish narrative while 4H demand remains respected.
Invalidation

The bullish thesis becomes invalid if:

15M demand fails with strong bearish displacement.
4H demand is decisively broken.
Market begins printing lower highs and lower lows across both internal and swing structure.

Until then, pullbacks remain buying opportunities rather than reasons to sell.

RegimeWorks Execution Plan

Bias: Bullish

Execution Timeframe: 15M

Confirmation Required: Yes

Entry Style: Confirmation-based only

Risk: Maximum 1% per position

Reward Objective: Minimum 1:3 R:R

Trade Management

Do not chase impulsive candles.
Allow price to trade into demand.
Wait for structure confirmation before execution.
Protect capital if confirmation fails.
RegimeWorks Summary

Narrative: Higher-timeframe buyers remain in control. The current rally is approaching premium pricing, making fresh longs unattractive at current levels. The preferred strategy is to allow price to retrace into 15M demand, confirm renewed buying interest, and execute in alignment with the prevailing 4H bullish order flow. Patience remains the edge. The best trade is not the first move—it is the confirmed continuation from institutional demand.

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