EURUSD is playing out exactly in alignment with the DXY bullish narrative.
After a strong rally from the yearly lows earlier in 2026, price has distributed and broken structure to the downside. We are now in a clear HTF downtrend — lower highs, lower lows, respecting the order flow.
Price has retraced into the daily Breaker + FVG zone in premium — the ideal location for continuation lower. This level has now rejected cleanly confirming distribution is active at this zone.
The weekly open sits just below current price acting as a reference for the daily delivery. Expecting continuation lower from the Breaker rejection this week.
Target is the previous yearly low / ERL at 1.1411. That level represents the full IRL to ERL delivery on the daily timeframe.
This is directly supported by DXY strength continuing toward 100.64 and 101.97 — dollar up means EURUSD down. Both narratives aligned.
Bias: Bearish
Active POI: Daily Breaker + FVG rejection
Weekly open: Key reference level
Target: ERL 1.1411
Invalidation: Daily close above the Breaker zone
Not financial advice — just my analysis.
After a strong rally from the yearly lows earlier in 2026, price has distributed and broken structure to the downside. We are now in a clear HTF downtrend — lower highs, lower lows, respecting the order flow.
Price has retraced into the daily Breaker + FVG zone in premium — the ideal location for continuation lower. This level has now rejected cleanly confirming distribution is active at this zone.
The weekly open sits just below current price acting as a reference for the daily delivery. Expecting continuation lower from the Breaker rejection this week.
Target is the previous yearly low / ERL at 1.1411. That level represents the full IRL to ERL delivery on the daily timeframe.
This is directly supported by DXY strength continuing toward 100.64 and 101.97 — dollar up means EURUSD down. Both narratives aligned.
Bias: Bearish
Active POI: Daily Breaker + FVG rejection
Weekly open: Key reference level
Target: ERL 1.1411
Invalidation: Daily close above the Breaker zone
Not financial advice — just my analysis.
Trade ativo
Entry playing out as expected - Expecting now a continuation lower till ERL - Well done if you got in !Trade fechado: stop atingido
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Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.