Technically: rising wedge (bearish)
Fundamentally:
JPY short positioning overextended
JPY safe haven in the event of equity downturn
GBP strength keeps inflation low - BoE will not hike
Brexit uncertainty remains
GBP positioning not overextended - room for shorts to build
Sentiment
Speculative market sentiment is very bearish yen; underestimating possibility of yen strength in case of events like August 2015
Sentiment is neutral/bullish GBP
Trade structure
Short at spot.
Add to position when wedge is broken.
Add to position every 100-200 pips of downside, trail stop to profit
Scale out at 130-125 yen
Fundamentally:
JPY short positioning overextended
JPY safe haven in the event of equity downturn
GBP strength keeps inflation low - BoE will not hike
Brexit uncertainty remains
GBP positioning not overextended - room for shorts to build
Sentiment
Speculative market sentiment is very bearish yen; underestimating possibility of yen strength in case of events like August 2015
Sentiment is neutral/bullish GBP
Trade structure
Short at spot.
Add to position when wedge is broken.
Add to position every 100-200 pips of downside, trail stop to profit
Scale out at 130-125 yen
Trade ativo
150 pips in the bag
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.