Fundamental Market Analysis for May 29, 2026 GBPUSD

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Event to watch today:

11:20 EET. GBP - BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

GBPUSD:

GBP/USD is holding near 1.34000 after falling to its lowest levels since mid-May. Pressure on the pound is linked not only to the stronger US dollar amid high US inflation, but also to domestic political uncertainty in the UK. Investors are cautiously assessing risks for the government and the possible impact of political tensions on the economic agenda.

The British currency is also receiving limited support from the Bank of England. The regulator maintains a cautious approach: inflation remains elevated, but the economy is showing signs of cooling, including weaker demand and slower hiring. This reduces the pound’s appeal, as the market does not see a clear UK advantage over the US in monetary policy.

For the pair, the key factor remains the US dollar. The high US Personal Consumption Expenditures index strengthens expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep rates at current levels for longer. If demand for the dollar remains stable and UK political risks stay in focus, GBP/USD may continue to decline toward the nearest target levels.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.34000, SL 1.34300, TP 1.33100

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