GBPUSD Final rally before a 2026 collapse.

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The GBPUSD pair has been trading within a giant Bullish Megaphone pattern for the past 3 years. This week will most likely be the first to close green after three straight bearish 1W candles. It is likely however to be the last one as having broken below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) in November 2025, the pair has confirmed the start of a new Bear Cycle.

So far, that is similar to the 2019 - 2021 Bullish Megaphone, which after making a 1W MA100/ 200 Bearish Cross and breaking below its 1W MA50, it confirmed a massive Bear Cycle that first hit its bottom on the 0.836 Fibonacci level and then broke the pattern to the downside making a new market Low.

As a result, we expect this week's bullish sentiment to reverse on the Lower Highs Resistance (2021 also displayed one) and towards the end of 2026 test the 0.836 Fib at 1.2400. Notice also the striking similarities among the 1W RSI sequences of those two fractals.

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