Germany 40 CFD
Short

GER40: Two-Scenario Setup | Imbalance Fill & External Expansion

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Currently, the asset has not completed a full price range rebalance in either direction. I am tracking two potential algorithmic scenarios based on the key POIs on the chart:

🔹 Scenario 1 (Local Imbalance Fill & Downside Delivery)
Imbalance Rebalance: Price pushes up toward Level 1, fully rebalancing the fair value gap and testing supply.

Markdown Phase: Following a structural confirmation/reversal, we target a downward movement expanding toward the lower 1.414 / 1.618 external liquidity targets (24,615.9 & 24,201.1).

🔹 Scenario 2 (Upper Expansion Prior to Reversal)
Upper POI Sweep: Price breaks through Level 1 directly into the upper external expansion POIs at 1.414 – 1.618.

Reversal Model: Upon reaching the upper POI and forming a valid distribution/reversal pattern, price initiates a high-probability markdown phase down to the primary downside target (1.414 lower expansion).

📌 Summary: The ultimate downside delivery target remains the lower 1.414 region for both paths. Awaiting clear confirmation within the defined POI levels before taking position.

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