FOMC days consistently produce some of the most volatile price movements in the market. The key is not predicting the news, but understanding how liquidity behaves around it. Below is a structured approach based on Smart Money Concepts.
1. Before the Release
Price typically consolidates and builds liquidity on both sides of the range.
Key steps:
Mark previous day’s high/low
Identify Asia range liquidity
Note premium/discount zones
Avoid early trades — the market often engineers traps before the announcement
2. During the Release (14:00–14:30 ET)
This is the most dangerous window.
Spreads widen
Slippage increases
Algo-driven spikes invalidate technical setups
The highest‑probability decision is to stay flat and observe.
3. After the Release
This is where the clean setups form.
Look for:
A sweep of a key high/low
A clear market structure shift
Retracement into an FVG, order block, or breaker
Targeting the next liquidity pool
This post‑news phase often delivers the most controlled and directional move of the day.
4. Markets Most Affected
USD pairs
Gold (XAUUSD)
Indices (US500, NAS100)
DXY for directional bias
Summary
FOMC is not about predicting the rate decision. It’s about letting liquidity do its job and trading the reaction, not the release. Patience during the chaos leads to clarity afterward.
⚠️ Disclaimer – DYOR
This idea is shared for educational purposes only. It reflects a personal interpretation of price action and smart money concepts.
Always do your own research before making trading decisions. Markets are volatile and carry risk.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
1. Before the Release
Price typically consolidates and builds liquidity on both sides of the range.
Key steps:
Mark previous day’s high/low
Identify Asia range liquidity
Note premium/discount zones
Avoid early trades — the market often engineers traps before the announcement
2. During the Release (14:00–14:30 ET)
This is the most dangerous window.
Spreads widen
Slippage increases
Algo-driven spikes invalidate technical setups
The highest‑probability decision is to stay flat and observe.
3. After the Release
This is where the clean setups form.
Look for:
A sweep of a key high/low
A clear market structure shift
Retracement into an FVG, order block, or breaker
Targeting the next liquidity pool
This post‑news phase often delivers the most controlled and directional move of the day.
4. Markets Most Affected
USD pairs
Gold (XAUUSD)
Indices (US500, NAS100)
DXY for directional bias
Summary
FOMC is not about predicting the rate decision. It’s about letting liquidity do its job and trading the reaction, not the release. Patience during the chaos leads to clarity afterward.
⚠️ Disclaimer – DYOR
This idea is shared for educational purposes only. It reflects a personal interpretation of price action and smart money concepts.
Always do your own research before making trading decisions. Markets are volatile and carry risk.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Publicações relacionadas
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.