SMCI 4-month consolidation could be a bottom.

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Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has been ranging for exactly the past 4 months (since the November 17 2025 candle), when it broke below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).

This consolidation is no technical accident as it is taking place on Support 1 (27.50), the April 07 2025 Low and could be an indication of a medium-term bottom. To confirm that however, it needs to break above its 1W MA200 again but on the bullish side, it is already trading above the 1W RSI MA (similar to December 2024 - January 2025) and just completed a 1W MACD Bullish Cross (similar to December 09 2024).

As a result, as long as Support 1 holds, it is likely to see a rally towards the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (similar to the previous Lower High) at $52.00.

A weekly closing however below Support 1, eyes Support 2 at $17.25.

The price is currently close enough to Support 1 to allow solid Risk/ Reward and SL placements on this strategy.

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