XAUUSD – Gold Is Pulling Back Into A Key Buy FVG Zone
Gold is not breaking down yet — it is testing the area where buyers need to prove themselves.
After the recent bullish recovery, price is now correcting from the upper area around 4,150 and trading near 4,126. The market has entered a sensitive zone between the Sell FVG above and the Buy FVG below. This is where the next short-term direction may be decided.
The current chart is not about chasing the move. It is about waiting for reaction.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Gold remains sensitive to geopolitical tension, oil prices, USD movement, and rate expectations.
The latest pressure across precious metals shows that traders are still cautious. Rising oil prices can keep inflation concerns alive, which may support a tighter policy outlook and create short-term pressure on non-yielding assets like gold.
However, geopolitical risk can still create safe-haven demand. That is why price may not move in a straight line. The chart reaction around key zones is more important than guessing the news impact.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SMC + FIBONACCI
From an SMC perspective, gold is correcting after a strong bullish leg from the lower trendline area. The broader short-term structure still has an upward trendline supporting price, but the current pullback is testing whether buyers can continue defending the market.
The Sell FVG around 4,150 – 4,155 has acted as resistance. Price reacted lower from that area, showing that sellers are still active near the upper imbalance.
The next important area is the Buy FVG around 4,071 – 4,109. This zone is the key demand area on the chart. If gold pulls back into this region and shows a strong bullish reaction, buyers may try to continue the structure higher again.
Below that, the deeper liquidity zone around 4,045 is also important because it sits closer to the rising trendline. If price breaks through the Buy FVG and reaches this lower zone, the market may still create one more reaction before deciding the next larger move.
The main idea is simple: gold is correcting, but the bullish structure is not fully broken unless price loses the Buy FVG and the trendline support.
KEY PRICE ZONES TO WATCH
Current price: 4,126
Sell FVG resistance: 4,150 – 4,155
Confirmation level for downside: Below 4,120
Buy FVG zone: 4,071 – 4,109
Deep liquidity support: 4,045
Uptrend trendline support: Around 4,045 – 4,070
Bullish recovery target: 4,150 – 4,155
Higher target if breakout confirms: 4,180 – 4,200
Invalidation for short-term bullish view: Below 4,045
TRADING SCENARIOS
Buy Scenario – Reaction From Buy FVG
If gold pulls back into the 4,071 – 4,109 Buy FVG and shows bullish confirmation, I will watch for a recovery setup.
Buy Zone: 4,071 – 4,109
Entry: Bullish rejection, liquidity sweep, lower-timeframe bullish CHoCH, or strong bullish displacement from the Buy FVG
SL: Below 4,045 or below the nearest swing low
TP1: 4,126
TP2: 4,150 – 4,155
TP3: 4,180 – 4,200 if momentum expands
Sell Scenario – Short-Term Reaction From Resistance
If gold retests the 4,150 – 4,155 Sell FVG and rejects again, sellers may create another short-term pullback.
Sell Zone: 4,150 – 4,155
Entry: Bearish rejection, failed breakout, or lower-timeframe bearish CHoCH
TP1: 4,120
TP2: 4,109
TP3: 4,071
Breakdown Scenario
If gold breaks below 4,071 and fails to reclaim the Buy FVG, the recovery structure becomes weaker.
Sell Condition: Clean break below 4,071, followed by retest and bearish confirmation
Target: 4,045
MY VIEW ON GOLD
My current view for gold is corrective, but not fully bearish yet.
Price is pulling back from the Sell FVG, and the next real test is the Buy FVG around 4,071 – 4,109. If buyers defend this zone, gold may recover toward 4,150 again. If this zone fails, the market may look for deeper liquidity near 4,045.
For me, the cleanest setup is not in the middle. I want to see whether gold respects the Buy FVG or breaks through it.
Gold is now sitting between rejection and recovery — and the Buy FVG may decide the next move.
Do you think gold will defend 4,071 – 4,109, or will sellers push price down to 4,045 first?
Gold is not breaking down yet — it is testing the area where buyers need to prove themselves.
After the recent bullish recovery, price is now correcting from the upper area around 4,150 and trading near 4,126. The market has entered a sensitive zone between the Sell FVG above and the Buy FVG below. This is where the next short-term direction may be decided.
The current chart is not about chasing the move. It is about waiting for reaction.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Gold remains sensitive to geopolitical tension, oil prices, USD movement, and rate expectations.
The latest pressure across precious metals shows that traders are still cautious. Rising oil prices can keep inflation concerns alive, which may support a tighter policy outlook and create short-term pressure on non-yielding assets like gold.
However, geopolitical risk can still create safe-haven demand. That is why price may not move in a straight line. The chart reaction around key zones is more important than guessing the news impact.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SMC + FIBONACCI
From an SMC perspective, gold is correcting after a strong bullish leg from the lower trendline area. The broader short-term structure still has an upward trendline supporting price, but the current pullback is testing whether buyers can continue defending the market.
The Sell FVG around 4,150 – 4,155 has acted as resistance. Price reacted lower from that area, showing that sellers are still active near the upper imbalance.
The next important area is the Buy FVG around 4,071 – 4,109. This zone is the key demand area on the chart. If gold pulls back into this region and shows a strong bullish reaction, buyers may try to continue the structure higher again.
Below that, the deeper liquidity zone around 4,045 is also important because it sits closer to the rising trendline. If price breaks through the Buy FVG and reaches this lower zone, the market may still create one more reaction before deciding the next larger move.
The main idea is simple: gold is correcting, but the bullish structure is not fully broken unless price loses the Buy FVG and the trendline support.
KEY PRICE ZONES TO WATCH
Current price: 4,126
Sell FVG resistance: 4,150 – 4,155
Confirmation level for downside: Below 4,120
Buy FVG zone: 4,071 – 4,109
Deep liquidity support: 4,045
Uptrend trendline support: Around 4,045 – 4,070
Bullish recovery target: 4,150 – 4,155
Higher target if breakout confirms: 4,180 – 4,200
Invalidation for short-term bullish view: Below 4,045
TRADING SCENARIOS
Buy Scenario – Reaction From Buy FVG
If gold pulls back into the 4,071 – 4,109 Buy FVG and shows bullish confirmation, I will watch for a recovery setup.
Buy Zone: 4,071 – 4,109
Entry: Bullish rejection, liquidity sweep, lower-timeframe bullish CHoCH, or strong bullish displacement from the Buy FVG
SL: Below 4,045 or below the nearest swing low
TP1: 4,126
TP2: 4,150 – 4,155
TP3: 4,180 – 4,200 if momentum expands
Sell Scenario – Short-Term Reaction From Resistance
If gold retests the 4,150 – 4,155 Sell FVG and rejects again, sellers may create another short-term pullback.
Sell Zone: 4,150 – 4,155
Entry: Bearish rejection, failed breakout, or lower-timeframe bearish CHoCH
TP1: 4,120
TP2: 4,109
TP3: 4,071
Breakdown Scenario
If gold breaks below 4,071 and fails to reclaim the Buy FVG, the recovery structure becomes weaker.
Sell Condition: Clean break below 4,071, followed by retest and bearish confirmation
Target: 4,045
MY VIEW ON GOLD
My current view for gold is corrective, but not fully bearish yet.
Price is pulling back from the Sell FVG, and the next real test is the Buy FVG around 4,071 – 4,109. If buyers defend this zone, gold may recover toward 4,150 again. If this zone fails, the market may look for deeper liquidity near 4,045.
For me, the cleanest setup is not in the middle. I want to see whether gold respects the Buy FVG or breaks through it.
Gold is now sitting between rejection and recovery — and the Buy FVG may decide the next move.
Do you think gold will defend 4,071 – 4,109, or will sellers push price down to 4,045 first?
Trading is a journey. The destination is mastering yourself
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Trading is a journey. The destination is mastering yourself
t.me/+qqEvv7Li9Tg2NTE1
t.me/+qqEvv7Li9Tg2NTE1
Publicações relacionadas
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.