XAUUSD (H1) |Gold Sweeps Weak Low — 3,875 Next Liquidity Target?
Gold remains under heavy selling pressure as institutional flows continue to dominate ahead of this week's ISM PMI and NFP data. Quarter-end portfolio rebalancing and a cautious risk environment are keeping buyers on the sidelines, allowing algorithmic selling to drive price lower.
From a technical perspective, Gold has broken below the previous Weak Low, confirming bearish market structure beneath the long-term descending trendline. The 4,000 area has now flipped into a key resistance zone, while the next major liquidity target sits around 3,875, where significant institutional demand is expected.
IF–THEN Scenario
If price retests and rejects the 4,000 resistance, the bearish move could extend toward 3,875.
If buyers reclaim and hold above 4,000, a short-term recovery may develop before the next directional move.
The broader trend remains bearish, but with high-impact data approaching, volatility could increase and create sharp liquidity-driven reversals.
💬 Do you expect Gold to continue its sell-off toward 3,875, or will the 4,000 level trigger a strong short-covering rally?
From a technical perspective, Gold has broken below the previous Weak Low, confirming bearish market structure beneath the long-term descending trendline. The 4,000 area has now flipped into a key resistance zone, while the next major liquidity target sits around 3,875, where significant institutional demand is expected.
IF–THEN Scenario
If price retests and rejects the 4,000 resistance, the bearish move could extend toward 3,875.
If buyers reclaim and hold above 4,000, a short-term recovery may develop before the next directional move.
The broader trend remains bearish, but with high-impact data approaching, volatility could increase and create sharp liquidity-driven reversals.
💬 Do you expect Gold to continue its sell-off toward 3,875, or will the 4,000 level trigger a strong short-covering rally?
Trade ativo
Gold was trapped before continuing its decline due to the lower-than-expected CB Consumer Confidence data, followed by much higher-than-expected JOLTS Job Openings, causing gold to fall sharply in today's Asian session. Further data releases today include the NFP and PMI.
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Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.