SSL Sweep Before Recovery Wave
Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains under pressure ahead of the September 16 Fed decision. Markets are pricing roughly a 94% chance of a 25 bp rate hike, while the U.S. 10-year yield has climbed above 5% and oil near $108 is reinforcing inflation concerns. These conditions continue to support the dollar and limit Gold’s recovery for now.
Technical Analysis
On H1, Gold remains in a bearish structure after the latest CHoCH and BOS, with price now near 4,284.
The key area is the 4,252–4,262 SSL. A final liquidity sweep into this zone could complete the bearish wave and create a cleaner base for recovery.
If buyers confirm from SSL, the first upside reaction area is the 4,332–4,346 Fibo Zone + VAL, followed by the 4,366–4,382 POC.
Important Key Levels
4,425–4,438 — OB + Support / Major Resistance
4,366–4,382 — POC
4,332–4,346 — Fibo Zone + VAL
4,252–4,262 — SSL / Main Liquidity
Trading Scenario
Buy priority comes only after a sweep into 4,252–4,262 followed by bullish H1 confirmation.
Target: 4,332–4,346 first, then 4,366–4,382.
Invalidation: H1 acceptance below the SSL zone.
Overall View
The H1 trend is still bearish, so buying early is less attractive. The cleaner setup is to let Gold take lower liquidity first, then watch for a confirmed recovery toward the Fibo Zone and POC.
Will Gold sweep the SSL before starting the next recovery wave?
Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains under pressure ahead of the September 16 Fed decision. Markets are pricing roughly a 94% chance of a 25 bp rate hike, while the U.S. 10-year yield has climbed above 5% and oil near $108 is reinforcing inflation concerns. These conditions continue to support the dollar and limit Gold’s recovery for now.
Technical Analysis
On H1, Gold remains in a bearish structure after the latest CHoCH and BOS, with price now near 4,284.
The key area is the 4,252–4,262 SSL. A final liquidity sweep into this zone could complete the bearish wave and create a cleaner base for recovery.
If buyers confirm from SSL, the first upside reaction area is the 4,332–4,346 Fibo Zone + VAL, followed by the 4,366–4,382 POC.
Important Key Levels
4,425–4,438 — OB + Support / Major Resistance
4,366–4,382 — POC
4,332–4,346 — Fibo Zone + VAL
4,252–4,262 — SSL / Main Liquidity
Trading Scenario
Buy priority comes only after a sweep into 4,252–4,262 followed by bullish H1 confirmation.
Target: 4,332–4,346 first, then 4,366–4,382.
Invalidation: H1 acceptance below the SSL zone.
Overall View
The H1 trend is still bearish, so buying early is less attractive. The cleaner setup is to let Gold take lower liquidity first, then watch for a confirmed recovery toward the Fibo Zone and POC.
Will Gold sweep the SSL before starting the next recovery wave?
Trade ativo
Recovery Plan Played Out
Gold followed the bullish recovery plan well after reacting from the 4,250–4,260 SSL zone.
Price pushed higher and delivered roughly +8,800 pips, reaching the marked 4,335–4,350 Fibo Zone + VAL as expected.
The first recovery target has now been reached, so chasing buys here is less attractive. The next focus is whether buyers can hold above this zone and continue toward the 4,360–4,380 POC.
Recovery plan confirmed — can Gold extend the move toward the POC next?
Trade fechado: objetivo atingido
Gold followed the recovery plan well after reacting from the 4,250–4,260 SSL zone.
Price rallied strongly and delivered roughly +10,500 pips, reaching the 4,360–4,380 POC area as expected.
After touching this target, Gold rejected sharply and moved back toward the lower range, showing that sellers are still active around the POC.
The main recovery objective was completed, so chasing buys here is less attractive.
The next focus is whether buyers can defend 4,250–4,280 again.
Target reached — can SSL support another rebound?
SMC | Volume Profile | Price Action | Market News
Structure, liquidity and key market reactions.
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Structure, liquidity and key market reactions.
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As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.
SMC | Volume Profile | Price Action | Market News
Structure, liquidity and key market reactions.
t.me/+5hCVk2sevVo0YjA1
Structure, liquidity and key market reactions.
t.me/+5hCVk2sevVo0YjA1
Publicações relacionadas
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.