XAUUSD 15M: Bearish Channel Breakdown | Retest Sell Setup Toward

📊 XAU/USD Technical Analysis (15M)
Current Price:
4123.225
Bias:
Bearish
Pattern:
Rising channel breakdown followed by a bearish retest
🔍 Market Structure
Price previously moved inside a rising channel.
The channel was broken to the downside, signaling a loss of bullish momentum.
A consolidation range formed around 4118–4125, indicating indecision.
The chart suggests a retest of the broken support area near 4133–4140, which is now acting as resistance.
As long as price remains below this zone, sellers maintain control.
📍 Key Levels
Resistance / Supply Zone
4133.0 – 4140.0 (marked support-turned-resistance)
4154.4 (major invalidation area / stop-loss level)
Support Levels
4115.0 – 4110.0 (intraday support)
4095.0 (next downside liquidity area)
4065.0 (major target zone shown on chart)
💧 Liquidity Zones
Buy-side liquidity: Above 4133–4140 where trapped buyers and breakout traders may have stops.
Sell-side liquidity: Below 4110 and extending toward 4065, where resting sell targets and stop orders are likely clustered.
📈 Trade Idea (Educational)
Preferred Bias: SELL on retest
Possible Entry:
4130 – 4136
Stop Loss:
4154.4
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 4110
TP2: 4095
TP3: 4080
TP4: 4065
🧠 Confirmation Needed
Rejection candles in the 4133–4140 zone.
Lower highs on the 15-minute timeframe.
Increasing bearish momentum after the retest.
⚠️ Invalidation
A strong 15-minute close above 4140 weakens the bearish setup.
A breakout and hold above 4154.4 would invalidate this short idea and could open the door for a bullish continuation.
Overall OutlookBearish while below 4133–4140; a retest rejection could target 4110, 4095, and potentially the 4065 liquidity zone.
Current Price:
4123.225
Bias:
Bearish
Pattern:
Rising channel breakdown followed by a bearish retest
🔍 Market Structure
Price previously moved inside a rising channel.
The channel was broken to the downside, signaling a loss of bullish momentum.
A consolidation range formed around 4118–4125, indicating indecision.
The chart suggests a retest of the broken support area near 4133–4140, which is now acting as resistance.
As long as price remains below this zone, sellers maintain control.
📍 Key Levels
Resistance / Supply Zone
4133.0 – 4140.0 (marked support-turned-resistance)
4154.4 (major invalidation area / stop-loss level)
Support Levels
4115.0 – 4110.0 (intraday support)
4095.0 (next downside liquidity area)
4065.0 (major target zone shown on chart)
💧 Liquidity Zones
Buy-side liquidity: Above 4133–4140 where trapped buyers and breakout traders may have stops.
Sell-side liquidity: Below 4110 and extending toward 4065, where resting sell targets and stop orders are likely clustered.
📈 Trade Idea (Educational)
Preferred Bias: SELL on retest
Possible Entry:
4130 – 4136
Stop Loss:
4154.4
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 4110
TP2: 4095
TP3: 4080
TP4: 4065
🧠 Confirmation Needed
Rejection candles in the 4133–4140 zone.
Lower highs on the 15-minute timeframe.
Increasing bearish momentum after the retest.
⚠️ Invalidation
A strong 15-minute close above 4140 weakens the bearish setup.
A breakout and hold above 4154.4 would invalidate this short idea and could open the door for a bullish continuation.
Overall OutlookBearish while below 4133–4140; a retest rejection could target 4110, 4095, and potentially the 4065 liquidity zone.
Trade ativo
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JOIN MY TELEGRAM CHANNEL LINK t.me/lmindgolde JOIN MY TELEGRAM CHANNEL LINK t.me/lmindgolde
Aviso legal
As informações e publicações não se destinam a ser, e não constituem, conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, comerciais ou de outro tipo fornecidos ou endossados pela TradingView. Leia mais nos Termos de Uso.