RKLB - Trend-Following Opportunity Under Watch!RKLB (Rocket Lab) is a leading space technology company specializing in satellite launches, spacecraft manufacturing, and space systems. As one of the fastest-growing companies in the commercial space industry, it has attracted significant interest from long-term growth investors.
From a technical perspective, the stock remains overall bullish, continuing to respect the red ascending broadening wedge that has guided the long-term trend.
Price is now testing an important technical area where the lower boundary of the broadening wedge aligns with a weekly demand zone, creating an attractive region to monitor for a potential bullish reaction.
⭕As long as this support area continues to hold, we can start looking for trend-following buy setups on lower timeframes, anticipating a continuation of the broader bullish trend.
⭕However, if price breaks below the current demand zone, the focus shifts toward the lower blue support and demand area, where another buying reaction may develop.
The reaction from the current support area may provide a better indication of whether buyers are ready to resume the long-term uptrend, or if the current correction still has room to extend lower.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal market view and is not financial advice.
Rayan Nasser
#RKLB #RocketLab #Stocks #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketStructure #Space 
Long
XAUUSD — OB Reaction, Trendline Break Can Confirm Recovery
Gold is trading around $4,017 after reacting strongly from the lower OB and buy zone liquidity around $3,985–$3,992. This is an important area on the medium-term structure because price has already tested the lower reaction zone several times, and sellers failed to create a clean continuation below it.
From an SMC perspective, gold is still moving inside a broad corrective structure, but the reaction from the lower OB shows that buyers are starting to defend the discount area. The key point now is the descending trendline. If gold can stay above this trendline and build acceptance above the current range, the recovery structure can become stronger.
The current market is not a place to chase. The clean plan is to wait for price to respect the $3,985–$3,992 buy zone or confirm strength above the trendline. If buyers continue to defend this area, gold may recover toward the VL zone first, then the upper OB area around $4,100–$4,125.
Buy setup 1
Condition:
Gold holds the buy zone liquidity around $3,985–$3,992 and forms bullish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $3,985–$3,992
SL: below $3,950
TP1: $4,030
TP2: $4,060
TP3: $4,100–$4,125
TP4: $4,175
Buy setup 2
Condition:
If gold breaks above the descending trendline and retests it as support, bullish recovery becomes stronger.
Entry: above $4,030–$4,040 after breakout retest
SL: below $3,985
TP1: $4,060
TP2: $4,100–$4,125
TP3: $4,175
TP4: $4,220
Buy setup 3
Condition:
If gold sweeps below $3,985 but quickly reclaims the buy zone, this can create a stronger liquidity-trap buy setup.
Entry: after reclaim above $3,985–$3,992
SL: below the sweep low
TP1: $4,030
TP2: $4,060
TP3: $4,100–$4,125
Sell setup
Condition:
Selling is not the main priority while price is reacting from the lower OB. A sell setup is only valid if gold fails to hold above $3,985–$3,992 and breaks the lower structure clearly.
Entry: below $3,950 after breakdown retest
SL: above $3,985
TP1: $3,920
TP2: $3,880
TP3: $3,830–$3,850
Sell scalping setup
Condition:
If gold reaches the upper OB around $4,100–$4,125 and shows clear bearish rejection, a short-term sell scalp may appear.
Entry: $4,100–$4,125 after rejection
SL: above $4,150
TP1: $4,060
TP2: $4,030
TP3: $3,985–$3,992
Key levels
Current price area: $4,017
Buy zone liquidity: $3,985–$3,992
Strong reaction OB: $3,950–$3,970
Trendline confirmation area: $4,030–$4,040
Short-term resistance: $4,060
VL reaction zone: $4,090–$4,105
Upper OB target zone: $4,100–$4,125
Bullish continuation confirmation: clean hold above the descending trendline
Stronger bullish confirmation: clean break above $4,125
Bearish continuation confirmation: clean break below $3,950
Bearish target zone if structure fails: $3,830–$3,850
My current view is that gold is reacting from a medium-term OB support area, and the recovery can become stronger if price holds above the descending trendline. The Prime Gold plan is to avoid selling directly into the lower OB and wait for confirmation around $3,985–$3,992 or a clean breakout above the trendline. If buyers defend this structure, gold can continue toward $4,060, $4,100–$4,125 and potentially higher liquidity.
No confirmation, no trade.
Long
MASON XAUUSD – Medium-Term Recovery Setup
Gold is trading around 4,017 after reacting near the lower part of the descending channel. The main medium-term idea for next week is a bullish correction, but confirmation is still needed because price remains inside the larger bearish channel.
Technical View
On the H4 chart, gold is still moving inside a wide descending channel, but price is now reacting from the lower channel area and liquidity zone. This suggests sellers may start losing momentum in the short term.
The recent structure also shows a possible recovery base after price swept liquidity around 3,950–4,000. If gold can hold above this area and reclaim the 4,100–4,120 zone, the bullish correction scenario becomes stronger.
The first important upside level is 4,203, marked as strong liquidity. A clean break above this zone could open the way toward the higher resistance area around 4,350–4,380, where the chart shows the next major supply zone.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,017
Main liquidity support: 3,950–4,000
Key buy/reclaim zone: 4,100–4,120
Strong liquidity target: 4,203
Major resistance: 4,350–4,380
Invalidation: below 3,950
Trading Plan
Priority Buy Scenario – Medium-Term Correction
Entry zone: 4,100–4,120 after reclaim and retest
Confirmation: H4 candle holds above the zone with bullish price action
Stop loss: below 3,950
Take profit 1: 4,203
Take profit 2: 4,350
Take profit 3: 4,380
Alternative Scenario
If gold drops once more into 3,950–4,000 and shows a clear rejection, this area can become a lower buy reaction zone. The first target would be 4,100–4,120, then 4,203 if momentum improves.
Sell View
Selling is not the priority for this plan. A sell view only becomes stronger if gold loses 3,950 and fails to recover back above the liquidity zone.
Final View
The main view for next week is a bullish correction from the lower channel area. Gold needs to reclaim 4,100–4,120 first, then 4,203 becomes the key level to watch for stronger upside continuation. No confirmation means no trade. Long 
XAUUSD – Bearish Continuation Toward Fibonacci Target
XAUUSD is trading around 3,990 after failing to recover above the short-term downtrend structure. Price remains below the previous support area, and the current reaction still looks like a weak correction inside the bearish trend.
The priority view remains sell with the trend, especially if gold retests the 4,020–4,040 reaction zone and fails to break above the psychological sell order area.
Technical View
Gold is still moving under bearish pressure after the strong breakdown from the previous consolidation zone. The market failed to hold above the old support, and price is now trading below the short-term downtrend trendline.
The 4,020 area is the first reaction zone to watch. This level was marked on the chart as an important area for price reaction. If gold pulls back into this zone and shows rejection, it may confirm that buyers are still weak.
The 4,035–4,040 area is the main psychological sell order zone. This zone is important because it aligns with the Fibonacci reaction area and the previous breakdown structure. If price reaches this area and fails to continue higher, it may confirm another lower high before the next bearish leg.
The 3,969 support is the nearest downside level. If gold breaks below this area, the bearish structure may continue toward the Fibonacci 1.618 target around 3,945–3,950.
The main idea is simple: as long as gold stays below 4,020–4,040, the market remains under selling pressure, and recovery attempts should be treated as corrective.
Key Zones
Current price: 3,990
Price reaction zone: 4,020–4,025
Psychological sell order zone: 4,035–4,040
Downtrend resistance: 4,000–4,020
Nearest support: 3,969
Fibonacci 1.618 target: 3,945–3,950
Invalidation: above 4,045
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,020–4,040
Condition: wait for bearish rejection, failed recovery above the downtrend trendline, or price staying below the psychological sell order zone.
SL: above 4,045
TP1: 3,969
TP2: 3,945–3,950
TP3: 3,920–3,930
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks below 3,969 directly, wait for a retest of this level as resistance before looking for sell continuation toward the Fibonacci 1.618 target around 3,945–3,950.
Buy View
Buy is not the priority while price remains below the downtrend trendline and below the 4,020–4,040 resistance area. A short-term buy reaction may appear near 3,945–3,950, but it needs clear bullish confirmation first.
Final View
Overall, gold remains in a bearish continuation structure. The cleaner plan is to wait for price to retest the 4,020–4,040 sell zone and watch for rejection. As long as this area holds as resistance, the downside path toward 3,969 and the Fibonacci target around 3,945 remains in focus.
Will gold reject from the psychological sell zone first, or break below 3,969 directly toward the Fibonacci target?
Short 
Long
USOIL - Geopolitical Tensions Support the Current Recovery!USOIL remains overall bearish, continuing to trade inside the red descending channel that has guided the broader trend.
Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly following the latest US strikes on Iranian targets and the continued uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, have provided support for oil prices. As a result, price rejected the blue support and demand area, which aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel, and has started to recover.
⭕If geopolitical tensions continue to support oil prices, the current recovery may extend toward the upper boundary of the descending channel, where it aligns with the red supply area. From there, we can start looking for trend-following sell setups on lower timeframes, in line with the broader bearish trend.
⭕However, if price breaks above both the upper boundary of the channel and the red supply area, it would suggest that buyers are gaining stronger control, increasing the probability of a broader bullish correction.
The next move in oil will likely depend on whether geopolitical tensions continue to support prices, or if the broader bearish trend begins to reassert itself.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal market view and is not financial advice.
Rayan Nasser
#USOIL #WTI #CrudeOil #Oil #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trading #MarketStructure BTC / USD Key Liquidity LevelsBitcoin has spent nearly two months consolidating after its bullish expansion. Price continues to trade within a defined range, with buyers absorbing selling pressure while liquidity builds on both sides of the market.
The most important structural development is the daily bullish shift established at 65,044. Before that shift, Bitcoin swept downside liquidity twice, removing resting sell-side stops before rotating higher.
The primary levels on my chart are:
61,219 — downside liquidity
65,679 — first upside liquidity
67,385 — higher upside liquidity
I am not interested in predicting which level will be reached first.
Instead, I want to see one side of the range liquidated, followed by a decisive rejection back into the range and a clear shift in market structure. If that sequence develops, the opposite side of the range becomes the next logical liquidity objective.
This remains one of Bitcoin's most consistent liquidity behaviors.
Despite the recent decline, Bitcoin remains in a broader monthly consolidation. Another downside liquidity sweep is still possible before the market expands higher.
Previous consolidations displayed similar behavior. Daily and weekly structures shifted repeatedly while the monthly structure remained unchanged.
For that reason, daily breaks alone should not be treated as trend confirmation. In Bitcoin, they often represent liquidity events before the larger move begins.
I am waiting for one side of the range to be cleared. If price quickly rejects back into the range and confirms a structural shift, I will expect the market to rotate toward the opposing liquidity pool.
Until then, patience remains the highest-probability position.
I'll keep you posted. 
Short
Short
Short
Short
SPY Is Sliding Toward 740.44, Its Own Line In The Sand.SPY Is Sliding Toward 740.44, Its Own Line In The Sand.
SPY rejected 755.66 for a third time and has been sliding since, closing near 750 and softening in premarket toward 745, heading for the 740.44 shakeout-versus-turn line. The structure is split: the daily is still bull with a 232-bar bull print standing, but the hourly has flipped to bear and is extended to the downside. This is the same 740.44 flagged all week - the level that separates a healthy shakeout inside the uptrend from a real turn. This is the one name where a break carries an edge, so a decisive reaction at 740.44 in either direction is the event. Neutral.
Resistance: 748.00 - first level to reclaim
Key resistance: 751.00 - then the 755.66 ceiling
Current price: 745 (premarket)
Support: 740.44 - the shakeout-vs-turn line
Key support: 739.34 - the prior swept low
Structural floor: 736.50-736.87 - deeper support
Two paths from here:
740.44 holds and the daily bull reasserts. With a 232-bar bull print still standing, a bounce off 740.44 that reclaims 748 says the pullback was a shakeout inside the uptrend and the ceiling comes back into view. This is where a long lean would set up if it confirms.
740.44 breaks and the daily rolls over. A decisive loss of 740.44 would be the first real crack in the daily bull structure, opening 736 and below. That flips the leanable setup to the short side.
Three rejections at the ceiling have SPY testing the floor of its two-week range. 740.44 is the line: a bounce that reclaims 748 keeps the daily bull alive, a close below 740.44 is the first genuine break of it. Watching the reaction, not front-running it.
Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS
Study, not financial advice. NVDA Is Back At 202.20 - The Line That Decides The Base.NVDA Is Back At 202.20 - The Line That Decides The Base.
The euphoria cap kept working. NVDA has fallen from the 213.81 high all the way back to 202.20 over three sessions, losing 207.59 and 204.82 on the way, and is now testing the base itself at 202.49. It swept a low right at the line. This is the level that has held the entire base - hold it and the structure is intact, lose it and the base fails. Short pressure is maxed on the higher timeframe and the daily is still in euphoria. Momentum is down, but price is sitting on the one level that matters. Neutral.
Resistance: 204.82 - first level to reclaim
Key resistance: 207.59 - the lost breakout level
Current price: 202.49
Support: 202.20 - the base, the make-or-break line
Key support: 199.89 - first shelf below the base
Structural floor: 197.13 - deeper support
Two paths from here:
The base holds 202.20 and the swept low bounces. Three days down into the exact base level with a low swept is a reversal setup. If 202.20 holds and NVDA reclaims 204.82, the drop was a shakeout and the base survives. The line does its job until it does not.
The base fails on a close. Maxed short pressure and euphoria unwinding can drive right through support. A close below 202.20 breaks the base that has held for weeks and opens 199.89, then 197. Below the base, the trend changes.
NVDA gave the entire run back and is now standing on 202.20. Everything hinges here - a hold and a reclaim of 204.82 says shakeout, a close below 202.20 says the base is gone.
Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS
Study, not financial advice. BTC Lost The Shelf. The Pullback Became A Break.BTC Lost The Shelf. The Pullback Became A Break.
Yesterday the question was whether 63,625 would hold as a pullback into demand. Overnight it did not - BTC lost the shelf, swept a low to 62,588, and is trading 63,092. The 4H conviction that was holding the higher-timeframe bull case has rolled over to bottom-quartile bear, so the split that kept this two-sided has resolved down. This is a third straight day lower from the 65,559 high. Price is now just above the 62,459 range floor with a swept low beneath it - the level that decides range-hold versus a deeper leg. Neutral.
Resistance: 63,625.81 - the lost shelf, now overhead
Key resistance: 64,400.89 - the reclaim level
Current price: 63,092
Support: 62,459.75 - the range floor, the line that matters
Key support: 61,750.90 - the swept-low shelf
Structural floor: 60,556.17-60,423.01 - the deeper range floor
Two paths from here:
The swept low holds 62,459 and it bounces. Three days down into the floor with a low already swept is where reversals tend to start. If 62,459 holds and price reclaims 63,625, the slide was a shakeout and the range stands. Watch for the reclaim, not the wick.
The floor breaks and the range fails. Both timeframes have now rolled bearish and momentum is one-directional. A loss of 62,459 on a close opens 60,556 and turns the three-day pullback into a range breakdown. Below the floor there is air.
The pullback-into-demand read did not hold - BTC lost the shelf and the higher timeframe rolled with it. 62,459 is the whole game now: a low is already swept right above the floor, so the next move is either a shakeout bounce or the range giving way.
Built with SYNTHESIS v3.3 | SOM / ACE / IMP / SYNTHESIS
Study, not financial advice. EURGBP Update: Remains Under Bearish Pressure Within An ImpulseEURGBP is moving nicely lower as anticipated back in May and June, continuing the expected decline after completing the previous corrective structure. The pair is now developing the final wave E, which can take some time to complete, as wave E is expected to unfold in a three-wave (A)(B)(C) structure.
Following the completion of the wave (B) bearish triangle pattern, EURGBP has started a strong decline within the projected wave (C) of E. The current downside structure suggests there is still room for further weakness, with the 0.8400–0.8300 area becoming an important potential target zone. This move could unfold through a lower-degree five-wave bearish impulse, completing the final stages of the larger corrective pattern.
On the 4H chart, EURGBP continues to extend lower as expected on July 1st, but currently it can be making a higher degree abc correction in wave 4, which could retrace the price back toward the ideal 38,2% Fibonacci retracement and 0.8545 resistance area before the next leg lower begins within wave 5.
As long as the broader bearish structure remains intact, any recovery should be viewed as corrective rather than a trend reversal.
XAUUSD — Key Entry Zones Around OB and FVG
Gold is trading around $3,998 after recovering slightly from the lower Buy zone OB around $3,980–$3,985. The short-term reaction shows that buyers are trying to defend this demand area, but the overall structure is still not fully bullish because price remains below the upper OB and FVG supply zones.
From an SMC perspective, gold recently created bearish BOS and continued to trade below the previous structure. The current bounce from the lower OB looks more like a reaction from liquidity rather than a confirmed bullish reversal. This means the buy zone can be used for short-term reaction, but the stronger decision areas are still above, especially around $4,038–$4,041 and the FVG zone near $4,051–$4,058.
The main plan is to wait for price to react clearly around the marked zones. Buying near the lower OB is only valid with confirmation, while selling near the upper OB or FVG remains the cleaner setup if sellers defend those areas.
Buy scalping setup
Condition:
Gold holds the Buy zone OB around $3,980–$3,985 and forms bullish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $3,980–$3,985
SL: below $3,970
TP1: $4,000
TP2: $4,020
TP3: $4,038–$4,041
Sell setup 1
Condition:
Gold recovers into the OB sell zone around $4,038–$4,041 and forms bearish rejection.
Entry: $4,038–$4,041
SL: above $4,058
TP1: $4,020
TP2: $4,000
TP3: $3,980–$3,985
Sell setup 2
Condition:
If gold pushes higher into the FVG zone around $4,051–$4,058 and fails to break above it, this can create a stronger sell setup.
Entry: $4,051–$4,058 after rejection
SL: above $4,075
TP1: $4,038–$4,041
TP2: $4,000
TP3: $3,980–$3,985
TP4: $3,960
Sell setup 3
Condition:
If gold breaks cleanly below the Buy zone OB and retests it as resistance, bearish continuation becomes active.
Entry: below $3,980 after breakdown retest
SL: above $4,000
TP1: $3,970
TP2: $3,960
TP3: $3,942
Key levels
Current price area: $3,998
Buy zone OB: $3,980–$3,985
Short-term reaction area: $4,000–$4,020
OB sell zone: $4,038–$4,041
FVG sell zone: $4,051–$4,058
Bearish continuation level: below $3,980
Lower target: $3,960
Major lower liquidity: $3,942
Bullish scalp confirmation: clean reaction above $3,985
Sell confirmation: bearish rejection from $4,038–$4,058
Bearish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,075
My current view is that gold can react from the lower Buy zone OB, but the main structure is still fragile. The Prime Gold plan is to avoid entering in the middle and only look for trades around the marked zones: short-term buy from $3,980–$3,985 if confirmed, or sell from $4,038–$4,041 and $4,051–$4,058 if sellers reject strongly. If gold loses $3,980 cleanly, the bearish path toward $3,960 and $3,942 becomes active again.
No confirmation, no trade.
Long 
EURUSD — Bullish Channel Retest Setup
Fundamental Analysis
EURUSD is still reacting to USD momentum and upcoming macro data. For now, the short-term structure remains positive while price continues to respect the rising channel.
Technical Analysis
On the 2H chart, EURUSD is trading around 1.1437 and holding inside a clear bullish channel. The key buy zone is around 1.1415 - 1.1420, where the 0.382 Fibonacci area, FVG support, and lower channel reaction align. If price holds this value zone, buyers may push EURUSD back toward 1.1487, then the resistance and Fibonacci target around 1.1519 - 1.1526.
Important Key Levels
Current price: 1.1437
Main buy zone: 1.1415 - 1.1420
Short-term support: 1.1403
Liquidity area: 1.1487
FVG resistance: 1.1490 - 1.1510
Main target: 1.1519 - 1.1526
Invalidation: below 1.1403
Trading Scenario
Main Buy Setup
Entry: 1.1415 - 1.1420
Stop Loss: 1.1403
Take Profit 1: 1.1487
Take Profit 2: 1.1510
Take Profit 3: 1.1519 - 1.1526
Buy Condition
Wait for EURUSD to retest the 1.1415 - 1.1420 buy zone and show bullish rejection. A clean hold above this area keeps the bullish channel valid. If price breaks above 1.1487, upside momentum may extend toward the Fibonacci resistance zone at 1.1519 - 1.1526. If price breaks and holds below 1.1403, the buy setup is invalid.
Overall View
EURUSD remains bullish while price stays inside the rising channel and holds above the 0.382 Fibonacci value zone. The preferred plan is to wait for confirmation around 1.1415 - 1.1420, then look for continuation toward 1.1487 and 1.1519 - 1.1526.
Do you share the same bullish view on EURUSD, or are you waiting for a cleaner retest of the buy zone first?
