Technical Analysis
Gold Rebounds From Trend Line โ 4,440 Resistance in FocusHello traders! Hereโs my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (2H) chart structure. XAUUSD previously traded inside a range before breaking higher with a strong impulse and shifting bullish. Price then formed another range and moved toward the 4,680 Resistance Line, where sellers rejected the upside. Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the 4,440 Seller Zone while holding above the 4,310 Buyer Zone and ascending Trend Line. The recent bounce from support suggests buyers are attempting to regain control. As long as XAUUSD remains above the 4,310 Buyer Zone and respects the ascending Trend Line, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 4,440 Seller Zone (TP1). However, a breakdown and close below the Buyer Zone would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the possibility of further downside. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" ๐
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Confirmed Bearish Continuation
Dow Jones Index will likely continue falling after a retest of a recently broken structure.
I see a valid bearish CHoCH on a 4h time frame and strong selling momentum.
Expect a bearish continuation to 51700.
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XAUUSD 2026/09/15The red scenario for deeper correction, Gold decline keeps that path focus, with a potential HEAD and SHOULDERS pattern now visible.
4205.00 remains the key level. Below it, the larger black wave 4 count would be valid: wave 4 cannot enter wave 1 territory. in a standard impulse.
A corrective bounce then come before further downside. The next downward impulse would be a potential opportunity to plan for.
We map the possible moves, define what. change the plan, and act. when the conditions are there
XAU/USD 4H โ GOLD AT A CRITICAL DECISION ZONE๐ Market Structure
Gold is showing short-term bearish pressure after rejection from the 4,365โ4,449 supply/OB area.
Price has broken below the marked 4H CHoCH / 4,324.68 area and is now testing the 4,282โ4,301 decision zone.
The chart marks 4,282.62 as the current 4H swing-low/S1 area.
The 9 EMA is around 4,329.19, keeping immediate momentum tilted bearish while price remains below it.
MACD is also below the zero line, with the histogram negative, supporting the current downside momentum.
๐ข Bullish Scenario โ Buyers' Last Defense
The key area is 4,269โ4,301, where the chart marks a bullish FVG / decision zone.
If buyers defend this area and price reclaims 4,324.68, the first important confirmation would be a move back above the EMA area around 4,329.
Potential upside path:
4,324.68 โ 4,365.57 โ 4,400+ โ 4,449
A strong reclaim of 4,365.57 would significantly improve the bullish structure.
๐ด Bearish Scenario โ Breakdown Risk
If 4,269โ4,301 fails to hold and price continues below 4,282.62, the bearish scenario becomes stronger.
The next major downside area marked on the chart is:
๐ฏ 4,245.19 โ 1D Fib 0.618 / golden pocket
A deeper continuation could bring 4,213โ4,237, the marked bullish FVG zone.
๐ฏ Trade Idea
Aggressive bullish reaction:
๐ข Watch 4,269โ4,301 for a confirmed rejection/reclaim.
๐ฏ TP1: 4,324.68
๐ฏ TP2: 4,365.57
๐ฏ Higher target: 4,449
Bearish continuation:
๐ด Confirmation below 4,269โ4,282
๐ฏ Target: 4,245.19
๐ฏ Extended: 4,213โ4,237
โ ๏ธ Do not chase shorts directly into the bullish FVG. Wait for either a confirmed bounce/reclaim or a clean breakdown and retest.
XAUUSD: Bullish Structure Developing Toward Supply๐ Analysis:
Gold is currently trading around 4,295 after reacting from the lower demand area. On the 15M chart, price has formed a potential MSS ๐ followed by a BOS ๐, indicating improving bullish momentum.
๐ฏ Key Area to Watch:
4,315โ4,320 โ BOS / resistance zone.
A sustained reclaim above this area could open the way toward:
โก๏ธ 4,350โ4,356 โ Supply Zone / PDH ๐ฏ
๐งญ Potential Bullish Path
4,295 โ 4,315โ4,320 โ ๐ Retest โ 4,350+ ๐ฏ
โ ๏ธ If price fails to reclaim the BOS area and breaks below the current structure, the bullish scenario should be reassessed.
๐ Key Levels
๐ข Current: ~4,295
๐ BOS / Resistance: ~4,315โ4,320
๐ฏ Supply / PDH: ~4,350โ4,356
๐ต 4H FVG: ~4,252โ4,263
๐ก 4H OB: Below the FVG
โ
Conclusion
๐ The current structure favors a bullish continuation scenario, provided price can reclaim and hold above the marked BOS area.
๐ง Confirmation first โ execution second.
โ ๏ธ Manage risk according to your own strategy.
Educational market analysis only. Not financial advice.
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #SMC #PriceAction #Forex #TradingView
EUR/USD LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous weekโs red candle means that for us the EUR/USD pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 1.158.
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NZD/CHF BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
NZD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 0.471
Target Level: 0.472
Stop Loss: 0.470
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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EUR/USD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 1.158 level area with our short trade on EUR/USD which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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AUD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the AUD/CHF pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.583 level.
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AUD/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.714 area.
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USD/CHF BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
USD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.818
Target Level: 0.815
Stop Loss: 0.820
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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XAUUSD | TRADING PLAN H1 15/09/2026โ
XAUUSD/H1
- Gold is still maintaining a bearish structure, continuously forming Lower High โ Lower Low patterns. At the same time, price is trading below the EMA trend structure and has failed to break out of the Supply Zone (4312 - 4318) + FIBO, indicating that sellers are still in control.
1. SELL SCENARIO
- Price is forming a sideways range around (428x - 431x) and has retested the Supply Zone (4312 - 4318), then started selling off again and is approaching the Support around 428x.
- If price continues to move sideways within this range and retests the Supply Zone (4312 - 4318), monitor the price reaction. If price continues to reject the breakout and selling pressure returns (M5 - M15), a continuation sell setup can be considered, targeting 430x - 428x.
- If price pulls back and breaks below the Support at 428x, with an H1 candle closing below this area, a continuation sell setup can be considered, targeting 427x - Demand Zone (4250 - 4257).
=> Selling momentum could expand further if price fully breaks below the Demand Zone (4250 - 4257). If the H1 candle confirms the breakout, the next downside targets are 423x - 420x.
2. BUY SCENARIO
- If price reacts strongly at the Demand Zone (4250 - 4257) and shows clear reversal signals, a short-term Buy can be considered, targeting 426x - 428x.
- If price moves sideways and then rallies strongly, breaking out and closing an H1 candle above the Supply Zone (4312 - 4318), the short-term bearish structure will weaken and may open a short-term upside move toward the Key Resistance (4352 - 4359).
=> If price tests the Key Resistance (4352 - 4359) but fails to break out and selling pressure returns, a sell setup can be considered back toward the downside. If price breaks out decisively, buying momentum could regain control.
๐ด KEY LEVELS
Supply Zone (4312 - 4318) + FIBO + EMA
Resistance 433x
Key Resistance (4352 - 4359)
Support 428x
Demand Zone (4250 - 4257)
XRPUSD: Triangle Breakdown & Downside Liquidity๐น XRPUSD is showing a notable shift in short-term price action after moving within a tightening symmetrical triangle. Price recently broke below the rising trendline, indicating weakening bullish structure and a possible transition toward bearish momentum. The rejection from the 1.43โ1.45 resistance area adds further pressure, while the recent lower highs and lower lows suggest sellers are gaining control. The highlighted liquidity area below price remains an important technical zone to watch as the market develops.
๐ธ If the bearish structure remains intact, XRPUSD could continue moving toward the lower liquidity zone, while a recovery above the broken trendline and resistance area could suggest renewed bullish strength. Traders may wait for clear price confirmation before considering any trade. If the current structure fails and price reclaims the resistance zone, the bearish scenario could weaken. This technical analysis focuses on price action, market structure, support, resistance, breakout behavior, and liquidity.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
NAS100 โ Resistance Rejection & Liquidity Sweep๐น NAS100 price action shows a broader sideways-to-bearish structure beneath the descending resistance trendline formed from the swing high near 30,200. Price recently retested the resistance area around 29,700โ29,800 and appears to have faced rejection, with renewed downside pressure visible. The market remains below this key resistance, while consolidation around 29,300โ29,600 reflects uncertainty. The highlighted liquidity area near 28,300โ28,400 remains an important downside reference if bearish pressure persists.
๐ธ NAS100 could continue toward the lower liquidity area if price remains rejected beneath the descending resistance and fails to reclaim the 29,700โ29,800 region. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the descending structure could support a shift toward a more bullish market structure. Traders may wait for clear price confirmation before considering any trade, while failure of the lower structure could expose additional downside liquidity.
Educational Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
JPYUSD Price Action: Bullish Breakout & Liquidity in Focus๐น JPYUSD is showing a clear bullish market structure after breaking above the rising trendline and pushing into higher highs. Price has recently consolidated near the upper range, while the highlighted support zone around 0.00638โ0.00640 remains an important area for market structure. The recent breakout suggests buyers have maintained control, although the current consolidation indicates a pause near resistance and liquidity above the recent highs.
๐ธ If the highlighted support zone continues to hold, price could revisit the upper liquidity area around 0.00662โ0.00664 after further confirmation of bullish price action. Traders may wait for price confirmation before considering any trade, particularly around the support and resistance zones. If support fails, the bullish structure could weaken and price might retrace toward lower market-structure levels. This JPYUSD technical analysis remains focused on price action, breakout structure, support, resistance, and liquidity.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
OILUSD Technical Analysis: Resistance Test & Liquidity Zone๐น OILUSD price action remains bullish, with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows developing from the August low. Price has advanced along a rising structure and recently pushed toward the highlighted resistance area around 107โ108. The latest candles show some hesitation below resistance, suggesting a potential short-term consolidation or rejection. The marked liquidity area near 89โ90 remains an important structural zone, while the broader market structure continues to favor the upside unless key support levels are lost.
๐ธ A bullish scenario could remain relevant if OILUSD holds its current structure and breaks above resistance with confirmation, potentially opening room for further price discovery. Alternatively, rejection from the resistance zone could lead to a retracement toward lower liquidity areas, with the 89โ90 region acting as an important reference point. Traders may wait for clear price confirmation before considering any trade. A sustained failure of the current bullish structure could shift the technical outlook toward deeper correction.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
XAUUSD โ Sell the H1 FVG RetestFundamental Analysis
Gold starts the Fed week under renewed pressure. Markets are pricing roughly an 89%โ90% probability of a 25 bp Fed hike at the September 15โ16 meeting after stronger August inflation, while the U.S. dollar has climbed to a two-week high. Brent near $108 is also reinforcing inflation concerns and keeping global bond yields elevated.
Middle East tensions continue to provide some safe-haven support, but for now the stronger dollar, higher yields and tighter Fed expectations remain the dominant headwinds for gold.
Technical Analysis
On the H1 chart, XAUUSD is trading near 4,292, maintaining a clear bearish structure below the descending resistance trendline.
Price has already broken beneath several short-term structure levels and is now testing the 4,278โ4,290 demand area, close to the 4,282.76 weak low.
Because price is already extended lower, chasing shorts here offers poor positioning. The cleaner setup is a corrective rebound into the 4,320โ4,335 H1 FVG.
If this imbalance is mitigated and sellers return, price could rotate back toward 4,290, sweep 4,282, and extend into the lower demand around 4,268โ4,278.
The larger 4,395โ4,405 FVG remains the higher resistance zone if the retracement becomes deeper.
Important Key Levels
4,395โ4,405 โ Major H1 FVG
4,320โ4,335 โ Main sell zone / H1 FVG
4,292โ4,300 โ Immediate pivot
4,282.76 โ Weak low / liquidity
4,268โ4,278 โ Main demand target
Above 4,340 โ Short-term invalidation
Trading Scenario
Main Sell Setup
Entry: 4,320โ4,335
Stop Loss: 4,345
Take Profit 1: 4,292
Take Profit 2: 4,282
Take Profit 3: 4,268โ4,278
Sell Condition
Wait for price to retrace into the H1 FVG and show bearish confirmation. A rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle, failed reclaim above 4,335, or H1 close back below 4,320 may confirm renewed seller pressure.
A sustained break above 4,340โ4,345 would weaken the immediate sell setup.
Overall View
The H1 bias remains bearish while XAUUSD stays below the descending trendline and 4,320โ4,335 FVG. With price already near demand, the preferred plan is not to chase the current decline. A corrective rebound into the imbalance would offer the cleaner location to look for continuation toward 4,282 and potentially 4,268โ4,278.
The Fed decision remains the major volatility risk this week, with the policy guidance likely to matter as much as the expected hike itself.
Do you expect gold to retest 4,320โ4,335 before sweeping the 4,282 weak low?
USDCAD โ Bearish Continuation Setup From Long-Term Resistance๐ Market Overview
USDCAD continues to maintain a bearish structure on the weekly timeframe, with the long-term descending trendline still limiting price recovery attempts. Previous tests of this trendline have produced notable bearish reactions, showing that this area remains a major barrier for buyers.
Price is currently trading below both the descending trendline and the resistance zone above. As long as buyers fail to break this structure, the broader trend continues to favor further downside in USDCAD.
๐ Market Structure Analysis
Market Trend: Bearish
Momentum: Consolidation / Corrective
Current Phase: Bearish Continuation
The price structure shows that USDCAD has repeatedly recovered toward the descending trendline but failed to sustain bullish momentum. The most recent test also produced a clear rejection before price moved back below the structure.
The current consolidation is still developing beneath long-term resistance, making it look more like a pause within the broader downtrend than a confirmed bullish reversal.
๐ Trading Scenario
โ
Bearish Scenario
Main trend conditions:
Price continues to hold below the descending trendline.
The upper resistance zone remains intact.
Recovery attempts continue to face rejection.
Selling pressure returns after the current consolidation.
Trading Plan:
Look for selling opportunities after a confirmed bearish reaction from the trendline or following a breakdown below the current consolidation structure. A return of bearish momentum would strengthen the case for further downside continuation.
๐ฏ Target 1: 1.3545
๐ฏ Target 2: 1.3200 area
โ Bearish Invalidation Conditions
Price decisively breaks above the descending trendline.
The upper resistance zone is broken and successfully reclaimed.
A weekly candle closes strongly above the resistance structure.
Price begins forming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows.
A confirmed breakout above the long-term resistance zone would significantly weaken the current bearish setup and could signal a broader change in market structure.
๐ฏ Key Resistance Zone: 1.4200โ1.4350
๐ Key Levels to Watch
๐ด Main Resistance: 1.4200โ1.4350
๐ด Dynamic Resistance: Descending trendline
๐ข Nearest Target: 1.3545
๐ข Main Target: 1.3200 area
โ ๏ธ Trading View
The overall structure remains bearish while USDCAD continues to trade below the long-term descending trendline. The current consolidation beneath resistance suggests that buyers have not yet created a strong enough structural shift.
If selling pressure returns and price breaks below the consolidation, 1.3545 becomes the first downside target. A further breakdown below this area could extend the decline toward the 1.3200 demand zone.
On the other hand, if USDCAD decisively breaks above the trendline and establishes itself above the resistance zone, the current bearish scenario would need to be reassessed.
๐ง Expert View
The current setup is supported by:
The long-term descending trendline remains valid.
Multiple previous rejections from the same resistance structure.
The latest retest produced another bearish reaction.
Price remains below weekly resistance.
The current consolidation is developing beneath the trendline.
Clear downside targets remain at 1.3545 and 1.3200.
Preferred approach: Avoid chasing shorts while price remains inside the consolidation. Wait for a clear bearish reaction from resistance or a confirmed breakdown before considering positions in the direction of the broader trend.
๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
Risk only 1โ2% of trading capital per position.
Define the invalidation level before entering.
Place stop losses according to the relevant resistance structure.
Do not increase position size simply because price approaches the trendline.
Wait for price-action confirmation rather than relying purely on prediction.
If resistance breaks, respect the new structure and reassess the bearish bias.
Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for educational purposes and to share a market perspective only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice.
XAUUSD โ H2 Breakdown Keeps Sellers in ControlMarket Pulse
Gold remains under pressure as markets prepare for this weekโs Fed decision.
Higher rate expectations, a stronger U.S. dollar and elevated Treasury yields are making it difficult for buyers to build a stable recovery. Higher oil prices are also keeping inflation concerns alive.
What the Chart Says
XAUUSD remains clearly bearish on H2.
Price continues to form lower highs and lower lows, while several bearish BOS moves confirm that sellers still control the structure.
Gold has now pushed below the 4,305โ4,323 support area and is trading around 4,287. This shows that bearish momentum is still strong, but it also means price is becoming extended lower.
For that reason, I would not chase fresh shorts at the current level.
A corrective recovery could first return toward 4,305โ4,323. If the rebound becomes stronger, the next areas to watch are 4,375โ4,390 and 4,400โ4,412.
These zones may become resistance if sellers step back in.
Levels That Matter
4,490โ4,510 โ Major upper resistance
4,400โ4,412 โ Main resistance
4,375โ4,390 โ Secondary resistance
4,305โ4,323 โ Broken support / possible retest
4,280โ4,290 โ Current downside area
My Main Plan
The main plan remains bearish.
I prefer waiting for a rebound instead of selling after the current drop.
If Gold recovers toward 4,305โ4,323 and sellers return with clear confirmation, the bearish trend could continue.
A deeper correction toward 4,375โ4,390 would offer an even cleaner area to watch if price reaches it.
What I Need to See
I want to see the rebound fail and another lower high form below the marked resistance zones.
A sustained H2 recovery above 4,412 would weaken the immediate bearish continuation setup.
Final Read
The H2 trend remains firmly bearish, and the latest breakdown confirms seller control.
However, price is already extended near the lows. For now, I prefer waiting for a corrective rebound before following the bearish trend again, rather than chasing shorts around 4,287.
Is the Downtrend Finally Breaking? A Bullish Scenario for USDJPYUSDJPY is currently showing signs that short-term bullish momentum is beginning to take control , even though the broader market has been dominated by a strong decline. The latest macro backdrop remains mixed: expectations of a BOJ rate hike continue to support the yen , while elevated U.S. inflation and Treasury yields are keeping the U.S. dollar relatively firm . For now, that dollar resilience is helping USDJPY maintain its recovery.
On the H1 timeframe, the technical picture has started to improve. After spending several sessions compressed near the lows, USDJPY has broken above the descending trendline that previously controlled the decline. More importantly, price has moved back above the Ichimoku structure and is holding above the breakout area, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening and buyers are beginning to regain short-term control .
The area around 153.8โ154.0 is now an important support zone. As long as price remains above this region, the breakout structure stays valid and the probability of further upside remains favorable. A return below this zone would weaken the bullish scenario.
If USDJPY continues to hold above the breakout structure , I expect buyers to gradually push the pair toward 155.0 first, followed by the 155.5 area . In the current setup, the technical structure favors buying controlled pullbacks rather than chasing the previous bearish trend , while keeping in mind that BOJ expectations remain an important risk for the upside scenario.
$SPY & $SPX โ Levels for Tuesday, September 15, 2026๐ฎ AMEX:SPY & SPCFD:SPX โ Levels for Tuesday, September 15, 2026
๐ Key U.S. Economic Data (ET)
8:15 AM | ADP Weekly Employment Change | Previous: 12.0K
8:30 AM | Empire State Manufacturing Index | Forecast: 14.8 | Previous: 20.6
4:30 PM | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin
โ ๏ธ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
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