GOLD (XAUUSD) — Correction Wave Target & Structural OutlookGold previously formed a broad consolidation structure around the 3,200–3,500 region before producing a strong bullish breakout.
The initial advance measured approximately 950 points. Price then completed another expansion of nearly the same size, creating an approximate 2× measured-move sequence of around 1,900 points.
Following the parabolic advance toward the 5,500 area, Gold encountered substantial supply and entered a corrective phase. Price is currently trading near 4,000, while the broader correction may still have room to extend toward the previous breakout base.
Technical Structure
The chart highlights three main phases:
• Accumulation and consolidation inside the 3,200–3,500 region
• Two consecutive bullish expansions of approximately 950 points each
• A supply-driven correction from the major high
The similarity between the upside expansions and the present corrective measurement suggests that Gold may be moving through a repeating measured-move structure.
Primary Scenario
Gold may continue correcting toward the 3,200–3,500 demand zone before beginning its next major bullish phase.
A temporary move below the range could sweep sell-side liquidity and remove weak long positions. A strong recovery back above the zone would then provide evidence of demand absorption and potential accumulation.
The projected red path represents a possible structural sequence:
Correction into demand → liquidity sweep → recovery → breakout → long-term expansion.
It does not represent an exact price path or timing forecast.
Bullish Confirmation
The bullish reversal scenario would gain credibility if Gold:
• Forms a strong weekly rejection inside the demand zone
• Recovers quickly after any liquidity sweep
• Reclaims the 3,500–3,600 area as support
• Establishes a higher low on the weekly chart
• Breaks above 4,400–4,600 with expanding momentum
• Eventually clears the previous major supply zone
Risk and Invalidation
A sustained weekly breakdown below approximately 3,000 would weaken the proposed demand-zone reversal thesis.
Failure to reclaim the broken support levels after a liquidity sweep could indicate that the decline is structural rather than corrective.
The 5,800–6,000 objective should therefore be treated as a conditional long-term target, not a guaranteed forecast.
Conclusion
Gold remains inside a corrective phase after completing an approximate 2× bullish expansion.
The 3,200–3,500 region is the central area to monitor. A controlled retracement, liquidity sweep and strong recovery from this zone could establish the foundation for another major expansion toward the previous high and potentially the 5,800–6,000 region. 
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XAUUSD: Weekly Downside Still Targets the Final Wave 5 Zone
Gold is still trading inside a broader bearish structure, and the weekly outlook continues to favour downside continuation. From Kelly’s view, the latest recovery looks more like a corrective rebound into resistance, while the main Elliott structure still suggests that wave 5 may extend lower.
The key idea is simple: as long as gold remains below the descending trendline and the sell wave B zone, the bearish weekly scenario stays active.
⟡ Market structure
The chart shows gold has been respecting a clear descending trendline, with repeated lower highs forming across the structure. Each recovery attempt has been capped under resistance, showing that buyers still lack strong control.
Price recently tested the lower support around 3,955–3,970 and bounced slightly, but the rebound is still weak. The nearest sell area is around 4,017–4,025, where the chart marks the sell wave B zone.
If gold retests this zone and fails to break above it, sellers may continue pushing price lower towards the final Elliott wave target near 3,845–3,855.
➤ Key levels
◌ 3,955–3,970: recent low and done test area
◌ 4,017–4,025: sell wave B zone and short-term resistance
◌ 4,050–4,075: higher resistance if the rebound expands
◌ 3,845–3,855: final wave 5 target area
◌ Above 4,075: area where the bearish weekly setup starts to weaken
⌁ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be developing the final bearish phase of a larger 5-wave decline.
Wave 1 started from the upper structure.
Wave 2 formed a corrective rebound but failed below trendline resistance.
Wave 3 pushed price lower with stronger bearish pressure.
Wave 4 may now be forming as a small recovery into the sell wave B zone.
If this resistance holds, wave 5 may continue lower towards the 1.618 Fibonacci extension area near 3,845–3,855.
This is why Kelly would not treat the current bounce as a full reversal yet. The market is still below the descending trendline, and the structure continues to favour sell reactions from resistance.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for gold to retest the 4,017–4,025 sell zone and show bearish confirmation.
Sell zone: 4,017–4,025 if rejection appears
Stop loss: above the confirmed rejection high or above 4,075
Take profit 1: 3,955–3,970
Take profit 2: 3,900
Take profit 3: 3,845–3,855
Alternative scenario: if gold breaks above 4,075 and holds with strong acceptance, the bearish wave 5 setup weakens. In that case, the market may shift into a larger corrective recovery before the next weekly direction becomes clear.
⌁ Kelly’s view
For Kelly, the weekly structure still favours selling the rebound. Gold has reacted from support, but the bounce remains corrective while price stays below the sell wave B zone and the descending trendline.
The cleaner plan is not to chase the low. Wait for price to retest resistance, then watch whether sellers defend the structure.
Gold may still have one more bearish leg ahead.
If the sell zone holds, the final wave 5 target remains open for next week.
Share your view below.
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RKLB - Trend-Following Opportunity Under Watch!RKLB (Rocket Lab) is a leading space technology company specializing in satellite launches, spacecraft manufacturing, and space systems. As one of the fastest-growing companies in the commercial space industry, it has attracted significant interest from long-term growth investors.
From a technical perspective, the stock remains overall bullish, continuing to respect the red ascending broadening wedge that has guided the long-term trend.
Price is now testing an important technical area where the lower boundary of the broadening wedge aligns with a weekly demand zone, creating an attractive region to monitor for a potential bullish reaction.
⭕As long as this support area continues to hold, we can start looking for trend-following buy setups on lower timeframes, anticipating a continuation of the broader bullish trend.
⭕However, if price breaks below the current demand zone, the focus shifts toward the lower blue support and demand area, where another buying reaction may develop.
The reaction from the current support area may provide a better indication of whether buyers are ready to resume the long-term uptrend, or if the current correction still has room to extend lower.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal market view and is not financial advice.
Rayan Nasser
#RKLB #RocketLab #Stocks #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketStructure #Space 
Long
XAUUSD — OB Reaction, Trendline Break Can Confirm Recovery
Gold is trading around $4,017 after reacting strongly from the lower OB and buy zone liquidity around $3,985–$3,992. This is an important area on the medium-term structure because price has already tested the lower reaction zone several times, and sellers failed to create a clean continuation below it.
From an SMC perspective, gold is still moving inside a broad corrective structure, but the reaction from the lower OB shows that buyers are starting to defend the discount area. The key point now is the descending trendline. If gold can stay above this trendline and build acceptance above the current range, the recovery structure can become stronger.
The current market is not a place to chase. The clean plan is to wait for price to respect the $3,985–$3,992 buy zone or confirm strength above the trendline. If buyers continue to defend this area, gold may recover toward the VL zone first, then the upper OB area around $4,100–$4,125.
Buy setup 1
Condition:
Gold holds the buy zone liquidity around $3,985–$3,992 and forms bullish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $3,985–$3,992
SL: below $3,950
TP1: $4,030
TP2: $4,060
TP3: $4,100–$4,125
TP4: $4,175
Buy setup 2
Condition:
If gold breaks above the descending trendline and retests it as support, bullish recovery becomes stronger.
Entry: above $4,030–$4,040 after breakout retest
SL: below $3,985
TP1: $4,060
TP2: $4,100–$4,125
TP3: $4,175
TP4: $4,220
Buy setup 3
Condition:
If gold sweeps below $3,985 but quickly reclaims the buy zone, this can create a stronger liquidity-trap buy setup.
Entry: after reclaim above $3,985–$3,992
SL: below the sweep low
TP1: $4,030
TP2: $4,060
TP3: $4,100–$4,125
Sell setup
Condition:
Selling is not the main priority while price is reacting from the lower OB. A sell setup is only valid if gold fails to hold above $3,985–$3,992 and breaks the lower structure clearly.
Entry: below $3,950 after breakdown retest
SL: above $3,985
TP1: $3,920
TP2: $3,880
TP3: $3,830–$3,850
Sell scalping setup
Condition:
If gold reaches the upper OB around $4,100–$4,125 and shows clear bearish rejection, a short-term sell scalp may appear.
Entry: $4,100–$4,125 after rejection
SL: above $4,150
TP1: $4,060
TP2: $4,030
TP3: $3,985–$3,992
Key levels
Current price area: $4,017
Buy zone liquidity: $3,985–$3,992
Strong reaction OB: $3,950–$3,970
Trendline confirmation area: $4,030–$4,040
Short-term resistance: $4,060
VL reaction zone: $4,090–$4,105
Upper OB target zone: $4,100–$4,125
Bullish continuation confirmation: clean hold above the descending trendline
Stronger bullish confirmation: clean break above $4,125
Bearish continuation confirmation: clean break below $3,950
Bearish target zone if structure fails: $3,830–$3,850
My current view is that gold is reacting from a medium-term OB support area, and the recovery can become stronger if price holds above the descending trendline. The Prime Gold plan is to avoid selling directly into the lower OB and wait for confirmation around $3,985–$3,992 or a clean breakout above the trendline. If buyers defend this structure, gold can continue toward $4,060, $4,100–$4,125 and potentially higher liquidity.
No confirmation, no trade.
Long 
MASON XAUUSD – Medium-Term Recovery Setup
Gold is trading around 4,017 after reacting near the lower part of the descending channel. The main medium-term idea for next week is a bullish correction, but confirmation is still needed because price remains inside the larger bearish channel.
Technical View
On the H4 chart, gold is still moving inside a wide descending channel, but price is now reacting from the lower channel area and liquidity zone. This suggests sellers may start losing momentum in the short term.
The recent structure also shows a possible recovery base after price swept liquidity around 3,950–4,000. If gold can hold above this area and reclaim the 4,100–4,120 zone, the bullish correction scenario becomes stronger.
The first important upside level is 4,203, marked as strong liquidity. A clean break above this zone could open the way toward the higher resistance area around 4,350–4,380, where the chart shows the next major supply zone.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,017
Main liquidity support: 3,950–4,000
Key buy/reclaim zone: 4,100–4,120
Strong liquidity target: 4,203
Major resistance: 4,350–4,380
Invalidation: below 3,950
Trading Plan
Priority Buy Scenario – Medium-Term Correction
Entry zone: 4,100–4,120 after reclaim and retest
Confirmation: H4 candle holds above the zone with bullish price action
Stop loss: below 3,950
Take profit 1: 4,203
Take profit 2: 4,350
Take profit 3: 4,380
Alternative Scenario
If gold drops once more into 3,950–4,000 and shows a clear rejection, this area can become a lower buy reaction zone. The first target would be 4,100–4,120, then 4,203 if momentum improves.
Sell View
Selling is not the priority for this plan. A sell view only becomes stronger if gold loses 3,950 and fails to recover back above the liquidity zone.
Final View
The main view for next week is a bullish correction from the lower channel area. Gold needs to reclaim 4,100–4,120 first, then 4,203 becomes the key level to watch for stronger upside continuation. No confirmation means no trade. Long 
XAUUSD – Bearish Continuation Toward Fibonacci Target
XAUUSD is trading around 3,990 after failing to recover above the short-term downtrend structure. Price remains below the previous support area, and the current reaction still looks like a weak correction inside the bearish trend.
The priority view remains sell with the trend, especially if gold retests the 4,020–4,040 reaction zone and fails to break above the psychological sell order area.
Technical View
Gold is still moving under bearish pressure after the strong breakdown from the previous consolidation zone. The market failed to hold above the old support, and price is now trading below the short-term downtrend trendline.
The 4,020 area is the first reaction zone to watch. This level was marked on the chart as an important area for price reaction. If gold pulls back into this zone and shows rejection, it may confirm that buyers are still weak.
The 4,035–4,040 area is the main psychological sell order zone. This zone is important because it aligns with the Fibonacci reaction area and the previous breakdown structure. If price reaches this area and fails to continue higher, it may confirm another lower high before the next bearish leg.
The 3,969 support is the nearest downside level. If gold breaks below this area, the bearish structure may continue toward the Fibonacci 1.618 target around 3,945–3,950.
The main idea is simple: as long as gold stays below 4,020–4,040, the market remains under selling pressure, and recovery attempts should be treated as corrective.
Key Zones
Current price: 3,990
Price reaction zone: 4,020–4,025
Psychological sell order zone: 4,035–4,040
Downtrend resistance: 4,000–4,020
Nearest support: 3,969
Fibonacci 1.618 target: 3,945–3,950
Invalidation: above 4,045
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,020–4,040
Condition: wait for bearish rejection, failed recovery above the downtrend trendline, or price staying below the psychological sell order zone.
SL: above 4,045
TP1: 3,969
TP2: 3,945–3,950
TP3: 3,920–3,930
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks below 3,969 directly, wait for a retest of this level as resistance before looking for sell continuation toward the Fibonacci 1.618 target around 3,945–3,950.
Buy View
Buy is not the priority while price remains below the downtrend trendline and below the 4,020–4,040 resistance area. A short-term buy reaction may appear near 3,945–3,950, but it needs clear bullish confirmation first.
Final View
Overall, gold remains in a bearish continuation structure. The cleaner plan is to wait for price to retest the 4,020–4,040 sell zone and watch for rejection. As long as this area holds as resistance, the downside path toward 3,969 and the Fibonacci target around 3,945 remains in focus.
Will gold reject from the psychological sell zone first, or break below 3,969 directly toward the Fibonacci target?
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USOIL - Geopolitical Tensions Support the Current Recovery!USOIL remains overall bearish, continuing to trade inside the red descending channel that has guided the broader trend.
Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly following the latest US strikes on Iranian targets and the continued uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, have provided support for oil prices. As a result, price rejected the blue support and demand area, which aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel, and has started to recover.
⭕If geopolitical tensions continue to support oil prices, the current recovery may extend toward the upper boundary of the descending channel, where it aligns with the red supply area. From there, we can start looking for trend-following sell setups on lower timeframes, in line with the broader bearish trend.
⭕However, if price breaks above both the upper boundary of the channel and the red supply area, it would suggest that buyers are gaining stronger control, increasing the probability of a broader bullish correction.
The next move in oil will likely depend on whether geopolitical tensions continue to support prices, or if the broader bearish trend begins to reassert itself.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal market view and is not financial advice.
Rayan Nasser
#USOIL #WTI #CrudeOil #Oil #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trading #MarketStructure BTC / USD Key Liquidity LevelsBitcoin has spent nearly two months consolidating after its bullish expansion. Price continues to trade within a defined range, with buyers absorbing selling pressure while liquidity builds on both sides of the market.
The most important structural development is the daily bullish shift established at 65,044. Before that shift, Bitcoin swept downside liquidity twice, removing resting sell-side stops before rotating higher.
The primary levels on my chart are:
61,219 — downside liquidity
65,679 — first upside liquidity
67,385 — higher upside liquidity
I am not interested in predicting which level will be reached first.
Instead, I want to see one side of the range liquidated, followed by a decisive rejection back into the range and a clear shift in market structure. If that sequence develops, the opposite side of the range becomes the next logical liquidity objective.
This remains one of Bitcoin's most consistent liquidity behaviors.
Despite the recent decline, Bitcoin remains in a broader monthly consolidation. Another downside liquidity sweep is still possible before the market expands higher.
Previous consolidations displayed similar behavior. Daily and weekly structures shifted repeatedly while the monthly structure remained unchanged.
For that reason, daily breaks alone should not be treated as trend confirmation. In Bitcoin, they often represent liquidity events before the larger move begins.
I am waiting for one side of the range to be cleared. If price quickly rejects back into the range and confirms a structural shift, I will expect the market to rotate toward the opposing liquidity pool.
Until then, patience remains the highest-probability position.
I'll keep you posted. 
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