BCM Bitcoin Cycle Engine v6 BRC Model

Bitcoin Cycle Engine v6 — BRC Model

Overview

Bitcoin Cycle Engine v6 (BRC Model) is an advanced Bitcoin macro-cycle analysis framework built upon the excellent Bitcoin Rainbow Wave model originally created by Leo (@leomathheart).

The model combines multiple independent long-term indicators into a single decision engine to estimate Bitcoin’s current position within its market cycle.

It is designed for Daily timeframe analysis and long-term investors.

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Features

• Power Law Regression

• Rainbow Bands

• Rainbow Wave

• Halving Cycle Timing

• Cycle Phase Detection

• Accumulation vs Distribution Engine

• Market Regime Classification

• Dynamic Risk Assessment

• Confidence Score

• Timing Score

• Long-Term Cycle Targets

• Dynamic Buy Zones

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How to Use

The indicator is intended to identify where Bitcoin currently sits within its long-term cycle.

BCM Score

Overall macro-cycle strength.

Higher values indicate stronger long-term accumulation conditions.

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Expected Phase

Shows the most likely market phase.

Examples:

• Bottom Building

• Recovery

• Expansion

• Distribution

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Accumulation / Distribution

Represents the current probability that the market is in an accumulation or distribution environment.

These values are independent probabilities and therefore do not necessarily add up to 100%.

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Risk Mode

Current market risk:

• Low

• Medium

• High

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Rainbow Floor

Estimated long-term support generated from the Power Law Rainbow model.

Historically Bitcoin has respected this area throughout previous market cycles.

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Buy Levels

Next Buy

Major Buy

Extreme Buy

These levels represent progressively stronger accumulation zones rather than exact reversal prices.

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Targets

Mid Target

Cycle Target

Long Target

These are statistical cycle objectives generated from the model and should not be interpreted as guaranteed price predictions.

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Best Timeframe

Recommended timeframe:

Daily (1D)

The model is designed for macro-cycle analysis and is not intended for intraday trading.

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Acknowledgements

Special thanks to Leo (@leomathheart) for creating the original Bitcoin Rainbow Wave model that inspired this work.

The BRC Model significantly extends the original framework with proprietary cycle scoring, market regime analysis, timing models and macro-cycle intelligence.

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Disclaimer

This indicator is intended for educational and research purposes only.

It represents a probabilistic market model and should not be considered financial advice.

Notas de Lançamento

Upgraded the indicator to BRC Live v7 with a fully dynamic, real-time cycle engine.

Key improvements:
• Replaced static phase estimates with live phase progress calculated from the current halving-cycle position.
• Added dynamically updating days remaining and next-cycle phase estimates.
• Rebuilt Accumulation and Distribution scores using live price, volume, RSI, weekly RSI, MACD, ATR, 200-day SMA and 200-week SMA data.
• Added live BTC Temperature, Market Regime, Risk Mode, Cycle Health and Model Confidence metrics.
• Added dynamically recalculated Rainbow Floor, Wave Floor and forward cycle projections.
• Removed manual and mock data inputs from the scoring engine.
• Improved dashboard layout, compact mode, alerts and live label handling.
• Preserved the original Rainbow Wave and Power Law foundation while extending it with the BRC real-time analysis framework.

All dashboard values now update directly from live TradingView chart data. This update is intended for Bitcoin macro-cycle analysis, primarily on the Daily timeframe.

Notas de Lançamento

Version 8

• Live cycle engine refined with a more intuitive 8-stage Bitcoin market cycle.

New phase sequence:
Capitulation → Bottom Building → Accumulation → Recovery → Expansion → Distribution → Euphoria → Capitulation.

• Improved real-time phase detection.
• Dynamic phase progress based on live cycle position.
• More intuitive next-phase forecasting.
• Dashboard terminology simplified for easier interpretation.
• No mock values. All dashboard metrics are calculated live from the BRC model.

Notas de Lançamento

Version 8.1 — Phase Engine Fix

• Rebuilt the market phase engine to remove conflicting and duplicated phase calculations.
• Preserved the original halving-cycle (`h`) and `cyclePhase` calculations.
• Corrected phase progress and remaining-days calculations.
• Realigned the phase sequence with historical Bitcoin cycle timing:

Capitulation → Bottom Building → Accumulation → Recovery → Expansion → Distribution → Euphoria

• Fixed incorrect jumps between Bottom Building and Expansion.
• Updated phase confidence to use the appropriate accumulation, distribution, or cycle-health score.
• Removed obsolete Bottom Window and Top Building classifications.
• Cleaned duplicate variables and improved Pine Script v6 compatibility.

All phase values, progress percentages, remaining days, model levels, and dashboard metrics continue to update dynamically from live chart data.

Script de código aberto

Em verdadeiro espírito do TradingView, o criador deste script o tornou de código aberto, para que os traders possam revisar e verificar sua funcionalidade. Parabéns ao autor! Embora você possa usá-lo gratuitamente, lembre-se de que a republicação do código está sujeita às nossas Regras da Casa.

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Script de código aberto

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