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ANN MACD Future Forecast (SPY 1D) NOTE : Deep learning was conducted in a narrow sample set for testing purposes. So this script is Experimental .
This system is based on the following article and is inspired by an external program:
hackernoon.com
None of the artificial neural networks in Tradingview work and are not based on completely correct logic. Unlike others in this system:
IMPORTANT NOTE: If the tangent activation function is used, the input data must also have tangent values (compared to the previous values of 1 bar).
Inputs were prepared according to this judgment.
1. The tangent function which is the activation function is written correctly. (The tangent function in the article: ActivationFunctionTanh (v) => (1 - exp (-2 * v)) / (1 + exp (-2 * v)))
2. Missing bias parts in the formulas were added.
3. The output function is taken from the next day (historical), so that the next bar can be predicted, which is the truth.
4.The forecast value of the next bar is subtracted from the current bar change and the market direction is determined.
5.When the future forecast and the current close are added together, the resulting data is called seed.
The seed carries data both from the present and from yesterday and from the future.
6.And this seed was subjected to the MACD method.
Thus, due to exponential averages, more importance will be given to recent developments and
The acceleration situations will show us the direction.
However, a short position should be taken for crossover and a long position for crossunder .
Because the predicted values work in reverse.Even though we use the same period (9,12,26) it is much faster!
7. There is no future code that can cause Repaint.
However, the color after closing should be checked.
The system is completely correct.
However, a very narrow sample was selected.
100 data: Tangent diffs ; volume change, bollinger bands values changes (Upband , Midband , Lowband) and LazyBear's Squeeze Momentum Indicator (SQZMOM_LB) change and the next bar data (historical) price change were put into the deep learning test.
IMPORTANT NOTE : The larger the sample set and the more effective dependent variables, the higher the hit rate of the deep learning test!
EDIT : This code is open source under the MIT License. If you have any improvements or corrections to suggest, please send me a pull request via the github repository github.com
Stay tuned. Best regards!
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Bollinger Band Strategy (Basic) Version 1 This strategy is for learning purposes only. Pay special attention to these strategies on longer aggregation periods (like 1 hr chart or more). Don't expect accurate results when you set a limit to 10 cents above your entry to be accurate. For example if you set the chart to 1 day, the price may move down and hit a stop 10 times then tag your limit. If this doesn't make sense, just don't use strategies here. Learn more first. That being said, I don't have specific recommendations for each aggregation period, backtesting isn't always perfect.
Now then, this strategy can be used as the traditional BB method by setting the "Stop" and "Limit Out" to like 10000, check "Reversal Entry" and uncheck "Limit Time of Day" This will keep the strategy running just reverse your position when price crosses outside each band.
INPUTS:
Length - length of WMA that I used for mean of Bollinger Band (this may suppose to be SMA, too bad)
Source - O-H-L-C basis for WMA
Deviation - normal Standard deviation that would be set when using Bollinger Band
Trailing stop check box - your stop value will be either a hard stop or trailing stop for an exit
Stop - the stop value - remember you can set this really high and it won't stop out
Limit Out - the limit value for exit
Reversal Entry check box - This changes each entry from a reversal (traditional idea of BB) to enter a trend trade - hopefully version 2 will have choice to trend one direction and reversal in the other.
Limit Time of Day - Especially when trading futures, you may want to only trade a specific time of day, when this box is checked, you can set the entry times below, exit will still only occur based on limit/stop or a flip entry order (the opposite entry condition is met)
Tips:
when I don't know a thing about a price range, like gold. I can set the limit out to 10000 and play with a trailing stop to get a better idea of what is even possible before tuning further.
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