📉 1. Main Trend
Still a downtrend — visible from:
falling moving average (red line)
previous LH structure (lower highs)
The price is only now testing the broken downward trendline (blue) from below → a classic retest
👉 Conclusion: this is not a bullrun yet, but a potential pullback
📈 2. Short-term Structure
Upward channel (orange) → a healthy rebound
Higher lows and higher highs → a local uptrend
Price reaches:
resistance ~78k
trendline retest + confluence
👉 This is the decision point
🔴 3. Key Levels
Resistance:
78.6k → current (very important)
83.3k → another strong supply
89k – 94k → trend reversal zone (if there (will reach)
Support:
72k → first important level
67k → critical (loss = further declines)
60k → last defense
📊 4. MACD + RSI
MACD:
Bullish momentum is rising
but already a bit "stretched" → correction possible
RSI:
~60 → close to the overbought zone
no divergence (ok for now)
👉 There is momentum, but we are not at the beginning of the move
⚠️ 5. Scenarios
🟢 Bullish (less likely without a breakout)
Breakout of 78.6k + close above
Target:
83k
then 89k+
🔴 Bearish (more logical now)
Rejection at 78k
Drop to:
72k
possibly 67k
👉 This would be Classic:
Trendline retest → continued declines
🧠 TL;DR (specifically)
We are in a downtrend retest
Price at key resistance
Momentum is rising, but it's not ideal for a long
Greater chance of:
👉 a correction than a breakout (at the moment)
Still a downtrend — visible from:
falling moving average (red line)
previous LH structure (lower highs)
The price is only now testing the broken downward trendline (blue) from below → a classic retest
👉 Conclusion: this is not a bullrun yet, but a potential pullback
📈 2. Short-term Structure
Upward channel (orange) → a healthy rebound
Higher lows and higher highs → a local uptrend
Price reaches:
resistance ~78k
trendline retest + confluence
👉 This is the decision point
🔴 3. Key Levels
Resistance:
78.6k → current (very important)
83.3k → another strong supply
89k – 94k → trend reversal zone (if there (will reach)
Support:
72k → first important level
67k → critical (loss = further declines)
60k → last defense
📊 4. MACD + RSI
MACD:
Bullish momentum is rising
but already a bit "stretched" → correction possible
RSI:
~60 → close to the overbought zone
no divergence (ok for now)
👉 There is momentum, but we are not at the beginning of the move
⚠️ 5. Scenarios
🟢 Bullish (less likely without a breakout)
Breakout of 78.6k + close above
Target:
83k
then 89k+
🔴 Bearish (more logical now)
Rejection at 78k
Drop to:
72k
possibly 67k
👉 This would be Classic:
Trendline retest → continued declines
🧠 TL;DR (specifically)
We are in a downtrend retest
Price at key resistance
Momentum is rising, but it's not ideal for a long
Greater chance of:
👉 a correction than a breakout (at the moment)
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这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供，也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。