Bitcoin appears to be in the final stage of its macro Elliott Wave cycle.
Price completed the wave 3 impulsive move in January 2025, and wave 4 has been developing since then, perfectly respecting the 0.382 Fibonacci level (~62,500 USDT). This represents a typical and healthy correction within a strong bull market.
As long as BTC holds this support, the structure remains valid and opens the door for wave 5, which could evolve into a blow-off top.
Most Probable Wave 5 Targets:
1.236 → ~142k
1.382 → ~158k ⭐
Extended / Euphoria Target:
1.618 → ~186k
Failure to hold the 62k area would invalidate this count and suggest a deeper correction.
📌 Late-cycle upside remains possible, but risk is rising.
Price completed the wave 3 impulsive move in January 2025, and wave 4 has been developing since then, perfectly respecting the 0.382 Fibonacci level (~62,500 USDT). This represents a typical and healthy correction within a strong bull market.
As long as BTC holds this support, the structure remains valid and opens the door for wave 5, which could evolve into a blow-off top.
Most Probable Wave 5 Targets:
1.236 → ~142k
1.382 → ~158k ⭐
Extended / Euphoria Target:
1.618 → ~186k
Failure to hold the 62k area would invalidate this count and suggest a deeper correction.
📌 Late-cycle upside remains possible, but risk is rising.
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免责声明
这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供，也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。