We see on the daily chart that support at the June-July range low, 18.8k, (which is also the 2017 high) is very strong.
The candle is very bullish and is accompanied by powerful volume.
Further downside at this point seems much less probable than more upside. Therefore, my analysis concludes we will be continuing the range upwards now.
21.6 seems the obvious next level and a *safe* TP point.
22.3 is more of a high-conviction play and not improbable, but in these environments I think safe plays are not a bad thing.
Once we get to those price-levels, which is to say: the top of the June-July range, it will be easier to evaluate whether we will be rejected again to continue the June-July range downwards, or whether we will push through to 24.4.
I still believe 28k may be on the charts for a bear-market rally local top, and it would be the perfect bulltrap. But first things first.
Aggressive profit taking is always recommended in these environments.
Hope it helps, and enjoy your day/night!
The candle is very bullish and is accompanied by powerful volume.
Further downside at this point seems much less probable than more upside. Therefore, my analysis concludes we will be continuing the range upwards now.
21.6 seems the obvious next level and a *safe* TP point.
22.3 is more of a high-conviction play and not improbable, but in these environments I think safe plays are not a bad thing.
Once we get to those price-levels, which is to say: the top of the June-July range, it will be easier to evaluate whether we will be rejected again to continue the June-July range downwards, or whether we will push through to 24.4.
I still believe 28k may be on the charts for a bear-market rally local top, and it would be the perfect bulltrap. But first things first.
Aggressive profit taking is always recommended in these environments.
Hope it helps, and enjoy your day/night!
注释
NOTE: this is a short term analysis. I said further downside is improbable, but in the longer term I do not believe we have bottomed yet.
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