Bitcoin / TetherUS已更新

Post-Rally Consolidation, Awaiting Catalyst

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Hello everyone,

Bitcoin is no longer in an expansion phase of the uptrend, but has shifted into a consolidation phase following the recent rally.

From a structural perspective, the medium-term uptrend remains intact. Bitcoin continues to print higher highs and higher lows, with price holding above both the EMA 34 and EMA 89, while these two moving averages are still sloping upward. The key point here is that sellers have not been able to trigger any meaningful breakdown, especially failing to force a clear close below the EMA 89 — the critical dynamic support of the current trend.

After setting a high around the 94,000 area, BTC pulled back and began moving sideways within a relatively tight range around 91,000–92,000. Many interpret this phase as a sign of weakness, but in my view, this behavior looks more like post-trend accumulation rather than distribution. The trading range is narrowing, volume is gradually declining, and each dip toward the EMA 89 is quickly met with buying interest, indicating that defensive capital is still present. A truly weak market would show a decisive break below the EMA 89, followed by aggressive selling on rebounds — and so far, that scenario has not materialized.
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