Hi guys,
this is a new iron condor to set, 4 weeks with 10% strike
So our short legs are @ 256 and @ 313
We have 80% probability of success, so a rew/risk 100-80/80= 20/80 = 0.25
Depending on the size you can trade, and the spread of the 2 verticals, we can reach a Rew/risk of about 0.37, that is 50% more than 0.25.
The preminum is not that much, but we have a very high succesfull rate at our side, plus we can always roll on leg is the things go bad to lower our risk. Using a wider spread the odds increase more, because there is more room for the price to move before to reach the maximum loss, even if in this case we can always close the leg before expiration, to lower the loss.
Enjoy your wallet!
Tari.
this is a new iron condor to set, 4 weeks with 10% strike
So our short legs are @ 256 and @ 313
We have 80% probability of success, so a rew/risk 100-80/80= 20/80 = 0.25
Depending on the size you can trade, and the spread of the 2 verticals, we can reach a Rew/risk of about 0.37, that is 50% more than 0.25.
The preminum is not that much, but we have a very high succesfull rate at our side, plus we can always roll on leg is the things go bad to lower our risk. Using a wider spread the odds increase more, because there is more room for the price to move before to reach the maximum loss, even if in this case we can always close the leg before expiration, to lower the loss.
Enjoy your wallet!
Tari.
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