Natural Gas is currently setting up a potential macro reversal structure on the 4-hour timeframe. We expect a short-term continuation down into our key demand zone to complete the bearish target, followed by a seasonal bullish push heading into autumn toward higher Fibonacci retracement levels.
Technical Breakdown
Short-Term Bearish Target (Order Block / Liquidity Sweep):
Price action is currently sloping downward toward our primary demand Order Block (~$2.20 – $2.45) (Sell: 42% / Buy: 58%).
We expect price to fulfill this lower bearish target to sweep local liquidity and mitigate the order block before establishing a solid market bottom.
Seasonal Autumn Reversal Path:
Once the lower Order Block is tested and buyers step in, we anticipate a strong structural shift to the upside as seasonal demand for Natural Gas picks up during the autumn months.
Macro Upside Targets:
Target 1 (Fib 0.382): The first major technical target sits around $4.85 - $5.00, aligning perfectly with the horizontal Fib 0.382 resistance line.
Target 2 (Fair Value Golden Pocket): The ultimate macro target lies within the major overhead supply zone between $5.80 and $6.80 (Fair Value / Golden Pocket).
Trading Plan & Roadmap
🔴 Phase 1 (Bearish Completion):
Allow price to drop into the lower Order Block zone ($2.20 – $2.45).
Do not chase shorts near the bottom; wait for the demand zone test.
🟢 Phase 2 (Bullish Confirmation & Reversal):
Look for bottoming structures (e.g., bullish engulfing candles, market structure shift, or RSI divergence) inside the green Order Block.
Entry: Reversal confirmation within $2.20 – $2.45.
Stop-Loss: Below the swing low of the Order Block zone (~$2.10).
Take Profit 1: ~$3.50 (Intermediate Swing High)
Take Profit 2: ~$4.85 (Fib 0.382 Resistance)
Take Profit 3: ~$5.80+ (Fair Value / Golden Pocket Zone)
Summary
Patience is key: Let the current downward leg play out into the lower Order Block. Once liquidity is cleared, we look for a strong autumn expansion toward Fib 0.382 (~$4.85) and ultimately the Golden Pocket ($5.80–$6.80).
Technical Breakdown
Short-Term Bearish Target (Order Block / Liquidity Sweep):
Price action is currently sloping downward toward our primary demand Order Block (~$2.20 – $2.45) (Sell: 42% / Buy: 58%).
We expect price to fulfill this lower bearish target to sweep local liquidity and mitigate the order block before establishing a solid market bottom.
Seasonal Autumn Reversal Path:
Once the lower Order Block is tested and buyers step in, we anticipate a strong structural shift to the upside as seasonal demand for Natural Gas picks up during the autumn months.
Macro Upside Targets:
Target 1 (Fib 0.382): The first major technical target sits around $4.85 - $5.00, aligning perfectly with the horizontal Fib 0.382 resistance line.
Target 2 (Fair Value Golden Pocket): The ultimate macro target lies within the major overhead supply zone between $5.80 and $6.80 (Fair Value / Golden Pocket).
Trading Plan & Roadmap
🔴 Phase 1 (Bearish Completion):
Allow price to drop into the lower Order Block zone ($2.20 – $2.45).
Do not chase shorts near the bottom; wait for the demand zone test.
🟢 Phase 2 (Bullish Confirmation & Reversal):
Look for bottoming structures (e.g., bullish engulfing candles, market structure shift, or RSI divergence) inside the green Order Block.
Entry: Reversal confirmation within $2.20 – $2.45.
Stop-Loss: Below the swing low of the Order Block zone (~$2.10).
Take Profit 1: ~$3.50 (Intermediate Swing High)
Take Profit 2: ~$4.85 (Fib 0.382 Resistance)
Take Profit 3: ~$5.80+ (Fair Value / Golden Pocket Zone)
Summary
Patience is key: Let the current downward leg play out into the lower Order Block. Once liquidity is cleared, we look for a strong autumn expansion toward Fib 0.382 (~$4.85) and ultimately the Golden Pocket ($5.80–$6.80).
CH Invest and Trading
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CH Invest and Trading
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供，也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。