Current Technical Picture
The latest session traded:
High: ~$747.25
Current: ~$743.30
Low: ~$740.83
This tells me buyers were unable to hold above $747, but they also defended the low-$740s.
Probability Assessment (1 Week)
Assuming no major macro shock outside earnings:
Retest of $747.27: ≈70–75%
This is only about 0.5% above the current price and is well within a normal weekly range.
Retest of $750: ≈50–60%
This would likely require at least one strong earnings reaction from a major tech company.
Break and hold above $750: ≈35–40%
Markets often need multiple positive catalysts to sustain a breakout beyond an established high.
Pullback to the 38.2% Fib (~$738.50): ≈45%
A common retracement if earnings are mixed.
What I'd Watch
The strongest bullish signal would be:
Price holds above the 23.6% Fib (~$743).
The 9 EMA remains above the 21 EMA.
Volume expands on moves through $747.25.
If those conditions occur, a move toward $750–752 becomes much more likely.
The latest session traded:
High: ~$747.25
Current: ~$743.30
Low: ~$740.83
This tells me buyers were unable to hold above $747, but they also defended the low-$740s.
Probability Assessment (1 Week)
Assuming no major macro shock outside earnings:
Retest of $747.27: ≈70–75%
This is only about 0.5% above the current price and is well within a normal weekly range.
Retest of $750: ≈50–60%
This would likely require at least one strong earnings reaction from a major tech company.
Break and hold above $750: ≈35–40%
Markets often need multiple positive catalysts to sustain a breakout beyond an established high.
Pullback to the 38.2% Fib (~$738.50): ≈45%
A common retracement if earnings are mixed.
What I'd Watch
The strongest bullish signal would be:
Price holds above the 23.6% Fib (~$743).
The 9 EMA remains above the 21 EMA.
Volume expands on moves through $747.25.
If those conditions occur, a move toward $750–752 becomes much more likely.
Options Workshop - 18 July 2026 at 10M EST
1. Options Courses - skool.com/lyns-investments-7455/classroom
2. Free Discord group - discord.gg/ZbNpYbaen3
Zoom link: us06web.zoom.us/j/83097084565?pwd=KXb57MxxWYDWQvxCFlAWfTo4tukIH6.1
1. Options Courses - skool.com/lyns-investments-7455/classroom
2. Free Discord group - discord.gg/ZbNpYbaen3
Zoom link: us06web.zoom.us/j/83097084565?pwd=KXb57MxxWYDWQvxCFlAWfTo4tukIH6.1
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这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供，也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。
Options Workshop - 18 July 2026 at 10M EST
1. Options Courses - skool.com/lyns-investments-7455/classroom
2. Free Discord group - discord.gg/ZbNpYbaen3
Zoom link: us06web.zoom.us/j/83097084565?pwd=KXb57MxxWYDWQvxCFlAWfTo4tukIH6.1
1. Options Courses - skool.com/lyns-investments-7455/classroom
2. Free Discord group - discord.gg/ZbNpYbaen3
Zoom link: us06web.zoom.us/j/83097084565?pwd=KXb57MxxWYDWQvxCFlAWfTo4tukIH6.1
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供，也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。