SOLUSDT — Bearish Drift Into Discount Before Relief Rally

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On the 4H timeframe, SOLUSDT is showing a clear shift from bullish expansion into bearish consolidation, with price gradually trending downward inside a defined range. The previous impulsive move has now transitioned into lower highs and weakening structure, signaling short-term bearish control.

Price is currently trading below equilibrium (0.5) or hovering around it, indicating a move toward discount territory. This suggests that the market is no longer in a strong bullish phase and is instead seeking liquidity below and rebalancing inefficiencies.

A key observation is the presence of a lower Fair Value Gap (FVG) beneath current price, which acts as a strong downside magnet. Price is already reacting near the lower boundary of the range, indicating that sell-side liquidity is likely to be targeted next.

At the same time, there is also an upper FVG, which may act as a retracement zone if price delivers a temporary bounce.

Expected ICT narrative:
Continuation down → sell-side liquidity sweep → FVG reaction → short-term pullback → continuation or reversal

The most probable scenario:

Price continues downward to take sell-side liquidity (below recent lows)
Fills the lower FVG (around 79–80 zone)
Then delivers a relief rally into the upper FVG (around 83–84)
After which the market decides between continuation or reversal

Key confluences:

Bearish structure forming (lower highs)
Price near/into discount = potential reaction zone
Sell-side liquidity below = immediate target
Dual FVGs = both downside draw and upside retracement zone

Execution idea:
Short-term, look for continuation into sell-side liquidity. After that, watch for bullish reaction from discount/FVG, which can provide a counter-trend long setup toward the upper imbalance.

Invalidation occurs if price reclaims the range highs and holds above, restoring bullish structure.

This is not financial advice. Always manage risk properly.

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