This chart highlights how major market tops tend to form in a repeatable order:
🟢 Corporate profits peak first
🔵 S&P 500 makes its final push
🟠 Jobless claims begin to rise after
IMO, those are the 2 indicators to really look at: Profits + Jobless claims.
The vertical lines mark prior tops — and the pattern is consistent.
Right now, that full sequence hasn’t clearly played out.
📉 Which suggests:
The conditions that typically mark a top are not fully in place yet.
That doesn’t mean risk is low — it means the process of topping is usually gradual, not instant.
🟢 Corporate profits peak first
🔵 S&P 500 makes its final push
🟠 Jobless claims begin to rise after
IMO, those are the 2 indicators to really look at: Profits + Jobless claims.
The vertical lines mark prior tops — and the pattern is consistent.
Right now, that full sequence hasn’t clearly played out.
📉 Which suggests:
The conditions that typically mark a top are not fully in place yet.
That doesn’t mean risk is low — it means the process of topping is usually gradual, not instant.
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