SVXY is a -0.5 inverse short term VIX futures ETF. Essentially, a hedged short on the VIX index. I view buying this fund as an abstract way to 'sell volatility' other than playing options on individual stocks. I like this approach because you are banking on the broader market returning to solid ground, which any rational investor should believe will happen eventually. During previous historical geopolitical 'crises', market volatility has peaked on an average of 8 days following the event. With 3 trading days behind us since the outbreak of operations in Iran, the peak of the VIX may already be behind us. The last two downturns in SVXY found support at the 200 day MA, and so far, the 200 day MA has held this time as well with yesterday's price action bouncing from there on significant volume. Because the conflict is still outgoing, and a spike in volatility wouldn't surprise me, we may see SVXY trade lower still. However, the further we go from last Saturday, the more likely I think it is that the bottom is in for SVXY. I am in favor of a long position on SVXY. I anticipate holding the position for a few weeks at the most, as this fund does have relatively high expenses that will erode value. But, look for a quick profit as the market (hopefully) settles following the events from last weekend.
交易手动结束
This was not the trade I was hoping for as volatility remained elevated longer than I expected. Did average down the trade over the last several weeks and have exited the position at a small gain.
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