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USDCHF: Sellers remain in control below the 0.8100 level

USDCHF continues to trade within a bearish structure, with recovery attempts stalled around the 0.8090–0.8100 zone. On the H4 chart, price action shows a consolidation phase near the lows without establishing a higher high, indicating that buying interest remains cautious.

Fundamentals also favor the CHF. US CPI and PPI data coming in below expectations have weighed on US bond yields, while demand for the CHF remains supported by its status as a safe-haven asset. This limits the likelihood of a sustained USDCHF recovery.

From a technical perspective, the 0.8100–0.8106 zone—confluent with the Ichimoku cloud and horizontal resistance—represents a significant area for selling. The preferred scenario sees the price retracing to test this zone before turning lower toward the 0.8036 support level. Downward pressure will only truly subside if the price breaks decisively above 0.8106.